Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.3%Cal Poly

69.7%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL171.9

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -230

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 83

Projected Total171.9

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 89

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricCal State Fullerton

46.5MMH Power Index49.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.8

111.0Defensive Efficiency107.1

-3.8Net Efficiency1.7

1.7Strength of Schedule-1.2

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

76.6Tempo76.3

52.2%Effective FG%52.6%

19.8%Turnover Rate15.1%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-2.9Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (108.8–107.2), defensive efficiency (107.1–111.0), net efficiency (1.7–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-1.2), offensive rebounding (29.9–25.5).

Final

Cal Poly

50—68

Cal State Fullerton

Cal State Fullerton by 18 • 60.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

17-49FG25-62

35.0%FG%40.0%

8-233PT12-27

35.0%3PT%44.0%

8-10FT6-8

80.0%FT%75.0%

31Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds14

7Assists11

14Turnovers7

2Steals7

2Blocks4

11Fouls12

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quentin Jones	G	35	5-14	3-7	1-3	5	2	2	0	14
Kobe Sanders	Guard	39	3-10	2-7	2-2	7	1	0	0	10
Justin Page	G	33	4-10	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	33	2-4	0-0	2-2	8	0	0	2	6
Jarred Hyder	Guard	33	1-6	1-3	3-3	4	3	0	0	6
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	9	2-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Paul Bizimana	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Hayden Jory	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Brewton	Guard	32	9-14	2-4	0-0	4	4	2	0	20
Antwan Robinson	Guard	27	3-11	3-8	1-2	7	0	1	0	10
Grayson Carper	Guard	13	2-5	2-5	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
John Mikey Square	Not Available	22	1-3	0-0	3-3	3	3	1	2	5
Zachary Visentin	Center	10	1-3	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	1	3
Jalen Cooper	F	25	1-4	0-1	0-0	8	2	0	1	2
Donovan Oday	G	4	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Kendrick De Luna	F	22	0-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Beril Kabamba	Forward	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.3Possessions60.3

82.9Offensive Efficiency112.8

112.8Defensive Efficiency82.9

-29.9Net Efficiency29.9

42.9%Effective FG%50.0%

46.5%True Shooting %51.7%

22.7%Turnover Rate11.9%

20.4%Free Throw Rate12.9%

46.9%3-Point Rate43.5%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 60.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.