Missouri

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.5%Missouri

86.5%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -12.6

PROJECTED TOTAL168.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -641

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri 78

Projected Total168.0

Projected ScoreArkansas 90

Team Comparison

MissouriMetricArkansas

57.2MMH Power Index69.3

115.1Offensive Efficiency122.2

109.7Defensive Efficiency109.8

5.4Net Efficiency12.4

5.0Strength of Schedule8.6

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

68.8Tempo73.8

55.2%Effective FG%56.4%

17.8%Turnover Rate12.2%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

43.1%Free Throw Rate36.5%

3.8Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–57.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.1), net efficiency (12.4–5.4), strength of schedule (8.6–5.0).

Missouri COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.7–109.8), offensive rebounding (34.8–31.8), free throw rate (43.1–36.5).

Final

Missouri

73—88

Arkansas

Arkansas by 15 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MissouriTEAM STATArkansas

20-51FG25-52

39.0%FG%48.0%

5-193PT10-25

26.0%3PT%40.0%

28-30FT28-34

93.0%FT%82.0%

27Rebounds33

6Offensive Rebounds7

6Assists16

8Turnovers5

3Steals4

4Blocks2

28Fouls22

Player Box Score

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean East II	Guard	38	9-14	0-0	15-16	3	2	0	0	33
Nick Honor	Guard	34	4-12	4-10	2-2	2	1	1	0	14
Tamar Bates	Guard	35	2-6	1-4	6-6	6	2	1	0	11
Noah Carter	Forward	35	3-14	0-4	2-2	7	1	0	2	8
Aidan Shaw	F	14	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	2	3
Connor Vanover	Center	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Mabor Majak	Center	10	0-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Jordan Butler	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Anthony Robinson II	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khalif Battle	Guard	38	11-15	6-10	14-14	6	1	1	0	42
Makhi Mitchell	Forward	28	4-8	0-0	5-6	6	3	1	0	13
Tramon Mark	G	35	3-7	2-3	2-4	7	3	0	1	10
Davonte Davis	Guard	34	2-8	0-4	4-4	9	6	1	1	8
El Ellis	Guard	25	2-5	0-3	1-2	0	1	1	0	5
Jeremiah Davenport	Guard	16	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Layden Blocker	G	10	1-3	1-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Chandler Lawson	Forward	10	0-2	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Trevon Brazile	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

109.3Offensive Efficiency131.7

131.7Defensive Efficiency109.3

-22.5Net Efficiency22.5

44.1%Effective FG%57.7%

55.9%True Shooting %64.6%

11.9%Turnover Rate7.6%

58.8%Free Throw Rate65.4%

37.3%3-Point Rate48.1%

0.75Assist / Turnover3.20

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.