Eastern Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.2%Eastern Michigan

56.8%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBall State -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL140.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBall State -131

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Michigan 69

Projected Total140.3

Projected ScoreBall State 72

Team Comparison

Eastern MichiganMetricBall State

43.4MMH Power Index41.3

102.4Offensive Efficiency101.7

106.6Defensive Efficiency104.7

-4.2Net Efficiency-3.0

1.4Strength of Schedule-3.9

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

69.0Tempo66.4

49.9%Effective FG%48.3%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.0%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

30.3%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-2.8Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ball State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBall State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.7–106.6), net efficiency (-3.0–-4.2), recent form (-0.9–-8.5), ball security (16.0–17.3).

Eastern Michigan COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (43.4–41.3), offensive efficiency (102.4–101.7), strength of schedule (1.4–-3.9).

Final

Eastern Michigan

58—56

Ball State

Eastern Michigan by 2 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern MichiganTEAM STATBall State

23-58FG19-55

40.0%FG%35.0%

5-183PT5-25

28.0%3PT%20.0%

7-11FT13-16

64.0%FT%81.0%

42Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists14

11Turnovers10

7Steals7

2Blocks3

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

Eastern Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Acuff	Guard	40	7-20	2-7	3-3	4	1	0	0	19
Jalin Billingsley	Forward	27	7-13	1-2	2-3	6	2	0	0	17
Arne Osojnik	G	35	2-6	2-5	0-0	6	2	2	0	6
Yusuf Jihad	Forward	12	2-2	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	0	5
Orlando Lovejoy	G	28	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Legend Geeter	F	20	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	3	2	0	4
Connor Serven	F	33	1-6	0-4	1-3	8	3	2	2	3
Cyril Martynov	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Basheer Jihad	Forward	38	6-14	1-4	5-6	16	3	3	2	18
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	35	2-7	1-6	8-9	3	0	0	0	13
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	39	4-12	1-6	0-0	6	7	1	0	9
Davion Bailey	G	38	3-12	2-5	0-1	3	1	2	0	8
Mason Jones	F	28	3-7	0-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	6
Ben Hendriks	Center	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Trent Middleton Jr.	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	1	0
Jurica Zagorsak	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

89.4Offensive Efficiency86.3

86.3Defensive Efficiency89.4

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

44.0%Effective FG%39.1%

45.9%True Shooting %44.7%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.2%

19.0%Free Throw Rate29.1%

31.0%3-Point Rate45.5%

1.09Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Eastern Michigan won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.