Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.9%Texas State

34.1%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -193

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 75

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 71

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricGeorgia State

49.4MMH Power Index38.9

107.7Offensive Efficiency101.3

103.4Defensive Efficiency107.5

4.3Net Efficiency-6.2

-4.7Strength of Schedule-1.7

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

68.6Tempo69.5

51.3%Effective FG%45.3%

18.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.0%Free Throw Rate37.4%

2.9Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–38.9), offensive efficiency (107.7–101.3), defensive efficiency (103.4–107.5), net efficiency (4.3–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-4.7), ball security (15.6–18.4), free throw rate (37.4–36.0).

Final

Texas State

68—59

Georgia State

Texas State by 9 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATGeorgia State

22-58FG22-54

38.0%FG%41.0%

5-163PT7-22

31.0%3PT%32.0%

19-26FT8-9

73.0%FT%89.0%

35Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds7

7Assists11

10Turnovers17

10Steals5

2Blocks4

11Fouls21

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coleton Benson	G	35	5-12	4-8	3-4	3	0	1	0	17
Jordan Mason	G	37	4-16	0-4	7-9	3	2	2	0	15
Davion Sykes	G	35	4-10	0-0	6-9	10	3	3	0	14
Brandon Love	Forward	27	4-6	0-0	2-2	7	2	0	2	10
Christian Turner	Forward	33	3-6	1-1	1-2	3	0	2	0	8
Dontae Horne	G	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	0	2
Elijah Tate	Guard	4	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Chris Nix	Forward	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Joshua O'Garro	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dwon Odom	Guard	34	6-9	0-1	4-4	5	5	1	0	16
Toneari Lane	G	36	5-17	3-13	0-0	2	0	0	0	13
Lucas Taylor	Guard	28	4-10	3-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	11
Brenden Tucker	Guard	17	3-5	0-0	4-4	2	2	0	0	10
Jay'Den Turner	Forward	33	3-8	1-3	0-0	10	1	2	1	7
Leslie Nkereuwem	Forward	22	1-5	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	2	2
Ed Nnamoko	F	25	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	1	0
Julian Mackey	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

98.0Offensive Efficiency85.0

85.0Defensive Efficiency98.0

13.0Net Efficiency-13.0

42.2%Effective FG%47.2%

48.3%True Shooting %50.6%

14.2%Turnover Rate24.9%

44.8%Free Throw Rate16.7%

27.6%3-Point Rate40.7%

0.70Assist / Turnover0.65

Game Summary

Texas State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.