Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.5%Valparaiso

71.5%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -251

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 75

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScoreMurray State 81

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricMurray State

49.9MMH Power Index53.6

106.6Offensive Efficiency115.0

105.8Defensive Efficiency111.0

0.8Net Efficiency4.0

0.3Strength of Schedule3.5

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

67.5Tempo72.3

48.7%Effective FG%54.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.3%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

40.0%Free Throw Rate39.1%

0.5Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–49.9), offensive efficiency (115.0–106.6), net efficiency (4.0–0.8), strength of schedule (3.5–0.3).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.8–111.0), recent form (-0.1–-9.5), ball security (15.6–16.3).

Final

Valparaiso

68—80

Murray State

Murray State by 12 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATMurray State

25-56FG30-57

45.0%FG%53.0%

10-243PT6-20

42.0%3PT%30.0%

8-11FT14-16

73.0%FT%88.0%

24Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds11

17Assists8

8Turnovers11

3Steals6

3Blocks2

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Schwieger	F	40	9-16	2-4	6-7	4	0	1	1	26
Isaiah Stafford	G	35	5-19	3-11	0-0	2	5	2	0	13
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	19	4-4	4-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	12
Jahari Williamson	G	9	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	2	0	0	5
Kaspar Sepp	F	23	2-3	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	0	4
Jerome Palm	F	15	2-3	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	0	4
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	36	1-6	0-1	0-0	4	9	0	0	2
Jaxon Edwards	G	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	2	2
Connor Barrett	Guard	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ola Ajiboye	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaCobi Wood	Guard	40	9-16	1-6	5-5	3	3	0	1	24
Nick Ellington	F	26	6-7	0-0	2-2	11	0	0	1	14
Rob Perry	Guard	12	5-9	1-3	1-3	5	0	1	0	12
Quincy Anderson	Guard	31	3-9	2-5	2-2	4	1	0	0	10
Malek Abdelgowad	F	14	3-4	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	8
Lawrent Rice	Guard	18	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	5
Alden Applewhite	F	15	1-3	1-2	2-2	2	1	1	0	5
Justin Morgan	Guard	22	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	2	3	0	2
Shawn Walker Jr.	Guard	22	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency126.2

126.2Defensive Efficiency107.3

-18.9Net Efficiency18.9

53.6%Effective FG%57.9%

55.5%True Shooting %61.9%

12.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

19.6%Free Throw Rate28.1%

42.9%3-Point Rate35.1%

2.13Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Murray State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.