Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.0%Air Force

99.0%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -34.7

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -9900

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 57

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 91

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricNew Mexico

23MMH Power Index63.7

91.3Offensive Efficiency114.8

118.5Defensive Efficiency100.2

-27.2Net Efficiency14.6

6.2Strength of Schedule2.0

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

67.4Tempo70.7

49.0%Effective FG%53.7%

21.9%Turnover Rate14.8%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

35.9%Free Throw Rate36.5%

-18.3Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–23.0), offensive efficiency (114.8–91.3), defensive efficiency (100.2–118.5), net efficiency (14.6–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–2.0).

Final

Air Force

78—77

New Mexico

Air Force by 1 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATNew Mexico

31-60FG28-60

52.0%FG%47.0%

11-253PT3-16

44.0%3PT%19.0%

5-7FT18-27

71.0%FT%67.0%

25Rebounds40

6Offensive Rebounds17

15Assists9

8Turnovers10

6Steals3

4Blocks7

21Fouls14

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Beau Becker	Forward	31	8-17	3-8	0-0	6	2	0	0	19
Rytis Petraitis	F	21	6-11	2-3	1-1	3	2	1	1	15
Ethan Taylor	Guard	40	4-13	3-9	0-0	4	3	2	0	11
Kellan Boylan	F	39	5-7	0-0	0-0	3	4	2	0	10
Byron Brown	Guard	36	3-4	0-1	4-6	3	4	0	1	10
Luke Kearney	F	20	3-5	2-2	0-0	3	0	1	1	8
Wesley Celichowski	C	9	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	30	6-8	0-0	5-9	9	0	0	3	17
Jamal Mashburn Jr.	Guard	38	5-12	2-5	4-4	2	0	0	0	16
Donovan Dent	G	36	5-7	0-0	4-5	5	5	0	2	14
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	20	6-8	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	0	12
Jaelen House	Guard	20	3-11	1-6	1-1	5	1	0	0	8
JT Toppin	F	29	2-5	0-0	2-4	7	0	0	2	6
Tru Washington	G	18	1-8	0-3	2-4	3	2	2	0	4
Jemarl Baker Jr.	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

118.9Offensive Efficiency117.4

117.4Defensive Efficiency118.9

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

60.8%Effective FG%49.2%

61.6%True Shooting %52.9%

12.2%Turnover Rate15.2%

11.7%Free Throw Rate45.0%

41.7%3-Point Rate26.7%

1.88Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Air Force won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.