North Alabama

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.5%North Alabama

83.5%Bellarmine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBellarmine -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBellarmine -506

Bellarmine

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Alabama 73

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreBellarmine 84

Team Comparison

North AlabamaMetricBellarmine

34.9MMH Power Index44.9

104.4Offensive Efficiency119.6

116.7Defensive Efficiency122.1

-12.3Net Efficiency-2.5

-1.2Strength of Schedule-2.8

-16.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

66.5Tempo66.9

48.9%Effective FG%60.0%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %22.7%

39.1%Free Throw Rate35.3%

-8.2Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bellarmine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBellarmine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.9–34.9), offensive efficiency (119.6–104.4), net efficiency (-2.5–-12.3), recent form (0.3–-16.3).

North Alabama COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (116.7–122.1), strength of schedule (-1.2–-2.8), offensive rebounding (31.5–22.7).

Final

North Alabama

70—82

Bellarmine

Bellarmine by 12 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North AlabamaTEAM STATBellarmine

21-60FG27-52

35.0%FG%52.0%

7-283PT8-19

25.0%3PT%42.0%

21-25FT20-24

84.0%FT%83.0%

36Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds2

6Assists14

5Turnovers5

2Steals4

1Blocks2

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

North Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Will Soucie	Guard	31	4-8	1-4	8-8	4	2	0	0	17
Josiah Fulcher	Guard	18	6-12	1-4	2-2	3	2	1	0	15
Tim Smith Jr.	Forward	16	3-7	3-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Canin Jefferson	G	14	4-7	1-4	0-1	2	0	1	0	9
KJ Johnson	Guard	32	2-10	0-5	4-6	3	0	0	0	8
Damian Forrest	Forward	30	1-5	0-0	3-4	12	0	0	1	5
Jacari Lane	G	23	0-4	0-0	4-4	2	2	0	0	4
Dallas Howell	F	28	1-6	1-5	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Eoin Nelson	Center	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Johnson	G	35	7-11	4-7	0-0	3	4	1	0	18
Langdon Hatton	Center	37	4-8	2-3	6-9	8	2	0	2	16
Bash Wieland	Guard	26	4-5	0-0	7-7	3	1	1	0	15
Dezmond McKinney	Guard	24	5-8	0-0	3-3	8	2	0	0	13
Peter Suder	G	31	3-8	0-2	4-5	4	3	2	0	10
Billy Smith	G	14	2-5	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Garrett Tipton	Guard	24	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Landin Hacker	Guard	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Zac Jennings	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Eli Roberts	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

104.9Offensive Efficiency122.9

122.9Defensive Efficiency104.9

-18.0Net Efficiency18.0

40.8%Effective FG%59.6%

48.7%True Shooting %64.7%

7.5%Turnover Rate7.5%

41.7%Free Throw Rate46.2%

46.7%3-Point Rate36.5%

1.20Assist / Turnover2.80

Game Summary

Bellarmine won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.