UC Irvine

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.2%UC Irvine

48.8%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -105

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 73

Projected Total147.0

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 74

Team Comparison

UC IrvineMetricUC San Diego

58.4MMH Power Index53.4

106.9Offensive Efficiency108.4

95.0Defensive Efficiency100.7

11.9Net Efficiency7.7

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.3

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

72.3Tempo69.8

50.7%Effective FG%53.1%

17.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

36.5%Free Throw Rate33.2%

8.6Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–53.4), defensive efficiency (95.0–100.7), net efficiency (11.9–7.7), strength of schedule (-1.0–-1.3).

UC San Diego COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.4–106.9), shooting efficiency (53.1–50.7), ball security (16.4–17.6).

Final

UC Irvine

88—92

UC San Diego

UC San Diego by 4 • 78.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC IrvineTEAM STATUC San Diego

30-59FG32-67

51.0%FG%48.0%

5-163PT8-21

31.0%3PT%38.0%

23-33FT20-23

70.0%FT%87.0%

39Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists16

14Turnovers14

5Steals4

3Blocks—

20Fouls26

Player Box Score

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andre Henry	G	37	7-9	3-4	1-2	1	1	1	0	18
Bent Leuchten	Center	18	5-10	0-3	4-6	3	0	0	0	14
Justin Hohn	Guard	35	5-9	2-5	1-3	5	2	2	0	13
Carter Welling	F	19	2-4	0-0	8-10	2	0	0	2	12
Pierre Crockrell II	Guard	34	5-11	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	10
Devin Tillis	F	34	1-6	0-1	5-8	8	4	2	0	7
Derin Saran	G	20	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Dean Keeler	Forward	9	1-2	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	1	4
Dylan Thoerner	Guard	6	1-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Ofure Ujadughele	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Langston Redfield	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Hayden Welling	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Bryce Pope	Guard	43	11-19	2-5	8-9	4	2	0	32
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	39	4-14	0-2	6-6	7	6	0	14
Francis Nwaokorie	Forward	41	4-6	2-4	1-1	7	2	1	11
Tyler McGhie	Guard	23	4-7	2-4	1-2	2	1	0	11
Hayden Gray	Guard	41	4-9	0-0	2-2	3	3	2	10
J'Raan Brooks	Forward	16	3-8	1-5	2-2	3	1	0	9
Quin Patterson	F	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	3
Emmanuel Tshimanga	Forward	12	1-2	0-0	0-1	3	0	1	2
Camden McCormick	Guard	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.3Possessions78.3

112.4Offensive Efficiency117.5

117.5Defensive Efficiency112.4

-5.1Net Efficiency5.1

55.1%Effective FG%53.7%

58.9%True Shooting %59.0%

18.5%Turnover Rate17.3%

55.9%Free Throw Rate34.3%

27.1%3-Point Rate31.3%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 78.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.