Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.3%Northwestern State

57.7%Houston Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston Christian -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL136.2

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston Christian -136

Houston Christian

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 67

Projected Total136.2

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 69

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricHouston Christian

41.3MMH Power Index39.5

104.0Offensive Efficiency102.5

109.0Defensive Efficiency110.3

-5.0Net Efficiency-7.8

-1.6Strength of Schedule-0.6

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.2

63.6Tempo65.4

49.5%Effective FG%49.9%

17.6%Turnover Rate19.0%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate37.1%

-3.2Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–39.5), offensive efficiency (104.0–102.5), defensive efficiency (109.0–110.3), net efficiency (-5.0–-7.8).

Houston Christian COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-1.6), shooting efficiency (49.9–49.5), offensive rebounding (30.5–27.1).

Final

Northwestern State

86—73

Houston Christian

Northwestern State by 13 • 74.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATHouston Christian

34-59FG22-53

58.0%FG%42.0%

8-163PT8-21

50.0%3PT%38.0%

10-14FT21-26

71.0%FT%81.0%

27Rebounds25

6Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists10

13Turnovers17

12Steals7

3Blocks5

17Fouls10

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braelon Bush	G	21	8-11	3-5	0-0	1	3	0	0	19
Cliff Davis	G	27	6-11	3-6	0-0	3	2	2	0	15
Duane Posey	G	17	4-4	0-0	3-6	2	0	0	0	11
Chase Forte	G	23	4-5	0-1	2-2	1	5	2	0	10
Justin Wilson	Forward	24	4-7	0-0	1-1	7	0	3	3	9
Jae Slack	F	22	2-8	1-2	4-5	5	0	3	0	9
Jimel Lane	F	24	3-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
J.C. Riley Jr.	F	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Chris Mubiru	G	23	1-5	1-2	0-0	4	1	2	0	3
Karlin Hardy	SG	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Greene	G	29	4-12	3-7	8-10	4	3	1	1	19
Jay Alvarez	Forward	35	4-11	0-1	6-9	5	0	0	1	14
Dominic Capriotti	G	33	4-10	3-8	2-2	3	1	0	0	13
Bonke Maring	Center	36	4-6	0-0	0-0	7	4	3	0	8
Tristan Moore	Forward	20	2-5	2-5	1-1	1	0	1	0	7
Michael Imariagbe	F	17	2-6	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	2	6
Pierce Bazil	PG	17	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	2	1	0	2
Porter Bazil	SF	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Nate Hudson	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

74.1Possessions74.1

116.1Offensive Efficiency98.5

98.5Defensive Efficiency116.1

17.5Net Efficiency-17.5

64.4%Effective FG%49.1%

65.5%True Shooting %55.9%

17.9%Turnover Rate22.6%

23.7%Free Throw Rate49.1%

27.1%3-Point Rate39.6%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.59

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 74.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.