California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.4%California Baptist

26.6%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -276

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 75

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreTarleton State 70

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricTarleton State

58.3MMH Power Index44.6

106.5Offensive Efficiency103.2

99.0Defensive Efficiency101.6

7.5Net Efficiency1.6

1.8Strength of Schedule-2.3

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

68.2Tempo72.2

48.8%Effective FG%49.0%

17.9%Turnover Rate19.9%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

37.0%Free Throw Rate42.8%

5.1Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–44.6), offensive efficiency (106.5–103.2), defensive efficiency (99.0–101.6), net efficiency (7.5–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (49.0–48.8), free throw rate (42.8–37.0).

Final

California Baptist

65—82

Tarleton State

Tarleton State by 17 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATTarleton State

23-47FG32-57

49.0%FG%56.0%

6-163PT9-17

38.0%3PT%53.0%

13-17FT9-12

76.0%FT%75.0%

31Rebounds22

8Offensive Rebounds4

9Assists14

17Turnovers5

—Steals11

1Blocks5

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Blondeau Tchoukuiegno	Guard	34	5-12	1-4	6-9	3	5	0	17
Scotty Washington	G	34	4-10	3-6	2-2	2	1	0	13
Yvan Ouedraogo	Forward	26	5-7	0-0	3-4	7	0	1	13
Chris Chiles	Guard	29	3-5	2-4	0-0	2	1	0	8
Hunter Goodrick	Forward	37	2-6	0-1	2-2	7	1	0	6
Kendal Coleman	Forward	17	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	4
Tylen Riley	G	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	4
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devon Barnes	G	38	11-18	4-7	7-10	5	2	3	0	33
Adam Moussa	Guard	26	5-5	1-1	0-0	3	10	3	1	11
Lue Williams	Guard	38	4-11	1-3	0-0	5	1	1	0	9
KiAndre Gaddy	Forward	33	3-3	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	2	8
Jakorie Smith	Forward	27	3-12	2-5	0-0	3	1	1	1	8
Traivar Jackson	F	19	4-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	8
Emmanuel Innocenti	G	19	2-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	3	0	5

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

101.7Offensive Efficiency128.3

128.3Defensive Efficiency101.7

-26.6Net Efficiency26.6

55.3%Effective FG%64.0%

59.0%True Shooting %65.4%

26.5%Turnover Rate7.8%

36.2%Free Throw Rate21.1%

34.0%3-Point Rate29.8%

0.53Assist / Turnover2.80

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.