Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.4%Missouri State

84.6%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -12.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -549

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 71

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreBelmont 84

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricBelmont

51.1MMH Power Index61.8

110.5Offensive Efficiency118.6

108.4Defensive Efficiency103.7

2.1Net Efficiency14.9

0.5Strength of Schedule-0.2

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

67.9Tempo70.7

51.8%Effective FG%60.7%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.8%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate32.7%

1.4Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–51.1), offensive efficiency (118.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (103.7–108.4), net efficiency (14.9–2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-0.2), ball security (16.4–17.8), offensive rebounding (33.0–28.8).

Final

Missouri State

78—93

Belmont

Belmont by 15 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATBelmont

30-61FG32-68

49.0%FG%47.0%

7-163PT16-38

44.0%3PT%42.0%

11-17FT13-14

65.0%FT%93.0%

35Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists21

13Turnovers9

5Steals8

4Blocks5

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chance Moore	G	35	7-14	1-5	3-4	7	2	0	1	18
Matthew Lee	Guard	34	5-10	2-3	6-8	1	2	1	0	18
Alston Mason	Guard	39	6-16	4-8	1-2	7	5	2	0	17
Donovan Clay	Guard	39	7-12	0-0	1-3	10	0	1	2	15
Cesare Edwards	Center	15	3-7	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	24	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	3	1	0	2
Dawson Carper	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Raphe Ayres	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Tyler Bey	Not Available	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cade Tyson	G	35	8-14	6-10	3-3	9	4	0	0	25
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	38	8-16	3-7	5-6	2	5	2	0	24
Malik Dia	F	28	5-15	3-7	0-0	8	3	2	3	13
Jayce Willingham	Guard	25	5-8	2-4	0-0	7	0	1	2	12
Keishawn Davidson	Guard	33	3-8	1-5	4-4	1	3	2	0	11
Isaiah Walker	G	28	3-6	1-4	1-1	7	5	0	0	8
Brigham Rogers	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Dykstra	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9

102.8Offensive Efficiency122.5

122.5Defensive Efficiency102.8

-19.8Net Efficiency19.8

54.9%Effective FG%58.8%

56.5%True Shooting %62.3%

17.1%Turnover Rate11.9%

27.9%Free Throw Rate20.6%

26.2%3-Point Rate55.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Belmont won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.