App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.4%App State

56.6%Marshall

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarshall -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMarshall -130

Marshall

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 74

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreMarshall 76

Team Comparison

App StateMetricMarshall

54.2MMH Power Index52

110.9Offensive Efficiency114.7

101.7Defensive Efficiency110.3

9.2Net Efficiency4.4

-4.2Strength of Schedule0.9

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

64.9Tempo70.7

51.1%Effective FG%55.2%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.5%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

39.8%Free Throw Rate29.7%

6.0Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–52.0), defensive efficiency (101.7–110.3), net efficiency (9.2–4.4), recent form (7.0–-4.9).

Marshall COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.7–110.9), strength of schedule (0.9–-4.2), shooting efficiency (55.2–51.1).

Final

App State

65—58

Marshall

App State by 7 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATMarshall

22-58FG24-73

38.0%FG%33.0%

7-193PT3-23

37.0%3PT%13.0%

14-20FT7-9

70.0%FT%78.0%

46Rebounds46

13Offensive Rebounds18

11Assists9

10Turnovers8

5Steals7

1Blocks3

10Fouls18

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Tate	Guard	34	9-14	4-7	3-4	6	5	1	0	25
Donovan Gregory	Forward	33	4-10	1-2	6-6	8	3	2	1	15
Terence Harcum	Guard	21	3-9	2-3	4-4	1	0	0	0	12
Xavion Brown	Guard	16	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Justin Abson	F	15	2-4	0-0	0-2	3	1	0	0	4
Tre'Von Spillers	F	37	1-7	0-0	1-3	11	0	0	0	3
CJ Huntley	Forward	28	1-4	0-3	0-1	7	0	2	0	2
Christopher Mantis	Forward	14	0-4	0-3	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Jordan Marsh	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kevon Voyles	Guard	37	8-16	2-3	1-2	5	1	2	0	19
Kamdyn Curfman	Guard	35	8-19	1-8	2-2	3	2	2	0	19
Obinna Anochili-Killen	Forward	25	4-9	0-3	0-0	4	1	0	1	8
Nate Martin	Forward	34	2-6	0-0	1-1	14	0	0	1	5
Cam Crawford	G	10	0-3	0-2	3-4	0	0	1	0	3
Jacob Conner	F	29	1-12	0-4	0-0	4	3	1	1	2
Wyatt Fricks	F	23	1-6	0-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Ryan Nutter	Guard	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

98.6Offensive Efficiency88.0

88.0Defensive Efficiency98.6

10.6Net Efficiency-10.6

44.0%Effective FG%34.9%

48.1%True Shooting %37.5%

15.5%Turnover Rate11.9%

34.5%Free Throw Rate12.3%

32.8%3-Point Rate31.5%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

App State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.