Oregon

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.5%Oregon

79.5%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -388

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon 70

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreCalifornia 80

Team Comparison

OregonMetricCalifornia

48.9MMH Power Index56.5

106.4Offensive Efficiency111.8

110.7Defensive Efficiency104.8

-4.3Net Efficiency7.0

6.0Strength of Schedule2.8

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

66.7Tempo69.9

49.9%Effective FG%52.6%

17.8%Turnover Rate14.9%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

36.9%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-2.9Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–48.9), offensive efficiency (111.8–106.4), defensive efficiency (104.8–110.7), net efficiency (7.0–-4.3).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.0–2.8), offensive rebounding (31.6–26.6), free throw rate (36.9–36.8).

Final

Oregon

64—69

California

California by 5 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OregonTEAM STATCalifornia

20-57FG26-63

35.0%FG%41.0%

4-183PT7-25

22.0%3PT%28.0%

20-23FT10-11

87.0%FT%91.0%

35Rebounds40

8Offensive Rebounds10

5Assists7

9Turnovers10

3Steals5

5Blocks3

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jermaine Couisnard	Guard	33	5-13	1-4	8-10	4	3	1	1	19
N'Faly Dante	Center	32	6-9	0-0	3-4	9	0	1	3	15
Jadrian Tracey	G	34	3-10	2-5	2-2	3	0	1	0	10
Jackson Shelstad	G	36	2-11	0-3	3-3	3	1	0	0	7
Brennan Rigsby Jr.	G	23	2-5	1-4	2-2	5	1	0	0	7
Kario Oquendo	Guard	18	1-4	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	4
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	18	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Mahamadou Diawara	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
James Cooper	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	36	11-23	1-4	4-4	7	1	1	2	27
Jalen Cone	Guard	37	4-14	3-10	4-5	1	0	0	0	15
Jalen Celestine	G	37	4-9	1-4	0-0	5	3	1	1	9
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	31	3-8	0-2	2-2	14	0	0	0	8
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	30	3-5	2-3	0-0	5	3	0	0	8
Grant Newell	F	15	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
Rodney Brown	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gus Larson	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Devin Curtis	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

93.3Offensive Efficiency100.6

100.6Defensive Efficiency93.3

-7.3Net Efficiency7.3

38.6%Effective FG%46.8%

47.1%True Shooting %50.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate14.7%

40.4%Free Throw Rate17.5%

31.6%3-Point Rate39.7%

0.56Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

California won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.