Western Kentucky

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.9%Western Kentucky

54.1%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -118

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 76

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 78

Team Comparison

Western KentuckyMetricMiddle Tennessee

55.6MMH Power Index52.5

110.6Offensive Efficiency109.6

106.2Defensive Efficiency105.7

4.4Net Efficiency3.9

1.7Strength of Schedule0.4

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

71.7Tempo68.8

48.6%Effective FG%52.2%

14.5%Turnover Rate16.7%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

42.9%Free Throw Rate33.2%

3.2Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.6–52.5), offensive efficiency (110.6–109.6), net efficiency (4.4–3.9), strength of schedule (1.7–0.4).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.7–106.2), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.6).

Final

Western Kentucky

72—74

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee by 2 • 74.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western KentuckyTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

22-59FG22-63

37.0%FG%35.0%

5-203PT10-28

25.0%3PT%36.0%

23-29FT20-30

79.0%FT%67.0%

42Rebounds43

11Offensive Rebounds14

14Assists10

12Turnovers11

4Steals5

6Blocks4

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Newman	Guard	33	3-8	1-5	7-7	4	0	1	1	14
Don McHenry	G	31	5-11	1-2	0-0	6	1	0	0	11
Dontaie Allen	Guard	31	4-10	2-6	1-2	5	2	1	0	11
Rodney Howard	Forward	26	3-9	0-0	5-8	7	3	0	4	11
Babacar Faye	F	10	2-3	0-0	6-6	3	2	0	0	10
Enoch Kalambay	G	17	2-3	0-1	2-2	4	1	0	0	6
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	22	1-6	1-4	0-0	5	3	0	1	3
Teagan Moore	G	11	1-3	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Jack Edelen	G	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Khristian Lander	Guard	9	0-4	0-2	1-2	1	1	1	0	1
BJ Marable	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	31	6-14	3-4	5-8	11	4	0	0	20
Jestin Porter	G	33	6-16	2-7	5-7	4	1	3	0	19
Elias King	Guard	32	3-15	2-7	4-5	4	0	0	0	12
Justin Bufford	Guard	28	2-6	0-2	3-3	11	2	0	1	7
Jalen Jordan	Guard	10	2-5	2-5	1-1	2	0	0	0	7
Jacob Johnson	Guard	31	2-3	0-0	1-4	1	3	1	0	5
Ty Mosley	Guard	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Tre Green	G	14	0-2	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Chris Loofe	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	3	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.1Possessions74.1

97.2Offensive Efficiency99.9

99.9Defensive Efficiency97.2

-2.7Net Efficiency2.7

41.5%Effective FG%42.9%

49.5%True Shooting %47.9%

16.3%Turnover Rate14.8%

49.2%Free Throw Rate47.6%

33.9%3-Point Rate44.4%

1.17Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 74.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.