Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%Illinois State

62.7%Bradley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBradley -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINEBradley -168

Bradley

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 72

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreBradley 76

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricBradley

54.3MMH Power Index54.4

110.6Offensive Efficiency110.5

101.4Defensive Efficiency105.3

9.2Net Efficiency5.2

1.0Strength of Schedule1.6

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

67.5Tempo69.9

54.3%Effective FG%51.2%

16.8%Turnover Rate13.9%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %27.7%

32.0%Free Throw Rate37.2%

6.2Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–105.3), net efficiency (9.2–5.2), shooting efficiency (54.3–51.2).

Bradley COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.4–54.3), strength of schedule (1.6–1.0), recent form (0.9–-4.4).

Final

Illinois State

45—48

Bradley

Bradley by 3 • 60.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATBradley

17-60FG16-54

28.0%FG%30.0%

3-233PT7-28

13.0%3PT%25.0%

8-11FT9-12

73.0%FT%75.0%

46Rebounds39

15Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists7

11Turnovers9

6Steals5

2Blocks5

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnny Kinziger	G	36	2-10	1-3	5-5	5	2	0	0	10
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	28	3-14	1-9	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Kendall Lewis	Forward	27	3-7	0-1	1-2	6	0	3	0	7
Myles Foster	Forward	35	2-8	0-0	2-4	16	1	0	0	6
Dalton Banks	Guard	30	2-6	0-3	0-0	2	4	2	0	4
Jordan Davis	Guard	18	2-5	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Chase Walker	F	12	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	2	4
Luke Kasubke	Guard	14	1-6	1-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	3

Bradley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duke Deen	Guard	34	5-15	1-5	0-0	2	3	0	1	11
Malevy Leons	Forward	36	2-7	1-5	3-4	7	0	2	1	8
Almar Atlason	F	26	2-4	2-4	1-2	2	0	0	0	7
Darius Hannah	Forward	23	2-6	0-0	3-4	8	0	1	1	7
Connor Hickman	G	32	2-11	1-7	0-0	6	2	1	1	5
Christian Davis	Guard	18	1-7	1-6	2-2	0	0	1	0	5
Demarion Burch	G	14	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Connor Linke	Forward	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

60.5Possessions60.5

74.4Offensive Efficiency79.3

79.3Defensive Efficiency74.4

-5.0Net Efficiency5.0

30.8%Effective FG%36.1%

34.5%True Shooting %40.2%

18.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

18.3%Free Throw Rate22.2%

38.3%3-Point Rate51.9%

0.91Assist / Turnover0.78

Game Summary

Bradley won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 60.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.