Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.6%Sacramento State

84.4%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -12.9

PROJECTED TOTAL157.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -541

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 72

Projected Total157.6

Projected ScoreMontana State 85

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricMontana State

43MMH Power Index53.6

106.1Offensive Efficiency114.4

112.0Defensive Efficiency104.9

-5.9Net Efficiency9.5

0.9Strength of Schedule-3.7

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

73.2Tempo68.1

48.5%Effective FG%55.1%

14.2%Turnover Rate14.7%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

41.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-4.3Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–43.0), offensive efficiency (114.4–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–112.0), net efficiency (9.5–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-3.7), ball security (14.2–14.7), free throw rate (41.8–30.7).

Final

Sacramento State

66—63

Montana State

Sacramento State by 3 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATMontana State

21-54FG21-51

39.0%FG%41.0%

8-243PT7-23

33.0%3PT%30.0%

16-27FT14-21

59.0%FT%67.0%

37Rebounds27

11Offensive Rebounds3

9Assists10

13Turnovers14

7Steals8

3Blocks2

22Fouls23

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Austin Patterson	Guard	36	8-15	3-8	1-4	2	1	3	0	20
Zee Hamoda	G	23	3-8	2-5	7-8	3	0	1	1	15
Alex Kovatchev	G	27	3-7	1-4	0-2	9	2	1	0	7
Bailey Nunn	G	17	3-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	7
Akol Mawein	Forward	27	1-6	0-2	4-6	3	1	1	0	6
Emil Skytt	G	26	1-2	1-1	3-4	4	3	1	0	6
Jacob Holt	Forward	10	1-2	0-1	1-2	5	2	0	1	3
Bowyn Beatty	F	27	1-5	0-1	0-1	7	0	0	0	2
Duncan Powell	F	7	0-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Walker	F	28	6-9	0-1	7-10	6	0	1	0	19
Eddie Turner III	Guard	35	4-10	3-6	2-2	2	4	2	0	13
Robert Ford III	Guard	29	4-12	2-6	3-3	6	2	1	0	13
Tyler Patterson	Guard	25	2-6	2-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	6
Sam Lecholat	Forward	32	2-3	0-1	1-2	5	2	0	1	5
Brian Goracke	Forward	22	2-5	0-2	0-1	2	0	2	0	4
Jed Miller	G	15	1-3	0-2	1-3	2	0	1	1	3
Chika Nduka	Forward	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
John Olmsted	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaden Geron	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

93.7Offensive Efficiency89.5

89.5Defensive Efficiency93.7

4.3Net Efficiency-4.3

46.3%Effective FG%48.0%

49.4%True Shooting %51.7%

18.9%Turnover Rate19.5%

50.0%Free Throw Rate41.2%

44.4%3-Point Rate45.1%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Sacramento State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.