Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.1%Mississippi State

82.9%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLSU -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL164.1

MODEL MONEYLINELSU -485

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 76

Projected Total164.1

Projected ScoreLSU 88

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricLSU

44.6MMH Power Index54.2

107.4Offensive Efficiency115.5

113.2Defensive Efficiency111.3

-5.8Net Efficiency4.2

5.0Strength of Schedule4.5

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

72.3Tempo70.5

51.6%Effective FG%53.4%

16.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

30.9%Free Throw Rate41.9%

-4.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

LSU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLSU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.5–107.4), defensive efficiency (111.3–113.2), net efficiency (4.2–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.0–4.5).

Final

Mississippi State

87—67

LSU

Mississippi State by 20 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATLSU

30-65FG24-58

46.0%FG%41.0%

10-213PT3-17

48.0%3PT%18.0%

17-22FT16-22

77.0%FT%73.0%

37Rebounds34

16Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists4

12Turnovers15

8Steals8

6Blocks7

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	34	9-17	6-12	8-8	1	1	0	0	32
Tolu Smith	Forward	28	8-14	0-0	3-4	9	1	1	2	19
KeShawn Murphy	F	25	4-9	0-2	3-4	9	1	1	1	11
Cameron Matthews	Forward	18	3-4	0-0	2-3	1	2	1	1	8
Dashawn Davis	Guard	18	2-5	2-3	0-1	3	3	0	0	6
Shakeel Moore	Guard	26	2-5	1-2	0-0	3	3	2	0	5
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	15	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	1	3
Trey Fort	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	18	0-3	0-0	1-2	1	1	1	1	1
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	11	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Adrian Myers	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gai Chol	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Stansbury	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trae Hannibal	Guard	36	9-18	0-2	4-6	6	2	1	0	22
Jordan Wright	Guard	32	3-7	1-2	7-10	5	1	1	0	14
Will Baker	Forward	26	4-7	0-1	1-2	5	0	0	2	9
Tyrell Ward	G	13	3-6	1-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	7
Mike Williams III	G	24	1-9	0-5	4-4	2	1	3	2	6
Jalen Reed	F	19	3-7	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	6
Derek Fountain	Forward	22	1-3	1-2	0-0	5	0	2	1	3
Hunter Dean	Forward	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Adam Benhayoune	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trace Young	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

121.7Offensive Efficiency93.7

93.7Defensive Efficiency121.7

28.0Net Efficiency-28.0

53.8%Effective FG%44.0%

57.7%True Shooting %48.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate21.0%

33.8%Free Throw Rate37.9%

32.3%3-Point Rate29.3%

1.17Assist / Turnover0.27

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.