UC Riverside

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.0%UC Riverside

75.0%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -300

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 78

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScoreCal Poly 85

Team Comparison

UC RiversideMetricCal Poly

41.2MMH Power Index46.5

103.1Offensive Efficiency107.2

110.1Defensive Efficiency111.0

-7.0Net Efficiency-3.8

0.5Strength of Schedule1.7

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

70.7Tempo76.6

49.8%Effective FG%52.2%

18.5%Turnover Rate19.8%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

35.2%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-4.9Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–41.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.1), net efficiency (-3.8–-7.0), strength of schedule (1.7–0.5).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.1–111.0), ball security (18.5–19.8).

Final

UC Riverside

84—78

Cal Poly

UC Riverside by 6 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC RiversideTEAM STATCal Poly

28-57FG29-57

49.0%FG%51.0%

7-193PT9-23

37.0%3PT%39.0%

21-26FT11-19

81.0%FT%58.0%

38Rebounds24

15Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists8

11Turnovers8

4Steals2

—Blocks2

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Barrington Hargress	G	35	7-10	1-1	5-8	2	4	3	20
Nate Pickens	G	33	4-7	2-3	4-4	3	0	0	14
Kyle Owens	Forward	19	4-9	0-2	4-4	8	0	0	12
Isaiah Moses	G	32	2-9	1-5	5-6	4	4	1	10
Kaleb Smith	F	25	4-9	0-2	1-2	5	0	0	9
Benjamin Griscti	Not Available	12	3-5	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	7
Vlad Salaridze	F	13	2-5	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	5
Jhaylon Martinez	Center	9	1-1	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	5
Luke Turner	Forward	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Wil Tattersall	Forward	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Sanders	Guard	37	12-19	2-5	9-10	1	3	1	0	35
Jarred Hyder	Guard	40	5-13	3-7	0-0	3	1	0	0	13
Justin Page	G	28	5-9	3-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	13
Quentin Jones	G	31	2-7	1-3	1-1	3	0	0	0	6
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	27	3-4	0-1	0-4	3	1	1	1	6
Joel Armotrading	C	13	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Isaac Spears	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Hayden Jory	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cole Haller	Forward	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

127.9Offensive Efficiency118.7

118.7Defensive Efficiency127.9

9.1Net Efficiency-9.1

55.3%Effective FG%58.8%

60.6%True Shooting %59.1%

16.8%Turnover Rate12.1%

45.6%Free Throw Rate33.3%

33.3%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UC Riverside won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.