UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.5%UC Davis

21.5%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -365

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 83

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 74

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricCal State Bakersfield

48.4MMH Power Index32.2

107.2Offensive Efficiency100.2

103.7Defensive Efficiency112.6

3.5Net Efficiency-12.4

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.7

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

72.4Tempo73.0

52.3%Effective FG%46.4%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.6%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

41.5%Free Throw Rate43.8%

2.5Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (103.7–112.6), net efficiency (3.5–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-1.9), offensive rebounding (30.2–26.7), free throw rate (43.8–41.5).

Final

UC Davis

56—75

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Bakersfield by 19 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

16-46FG24-58

35.0%FG%41.0%

5-203PT9-23

25.0%3PT%39.0%

19-21FT18-22

90.0%FT%82.0%

27Rebounds39

7Offensive Rebounds16

7Assists15

14Turnovers10

4Steals8

2Blocks4

20Fouls21

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	28	8-19	0-2	6-7	5	2	0	0	22
Elijah Pepper	Guard	32	1-11	1-8	6-6	3	0	1	0	9
Kane Milling	Guard	23	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	2	0	5
Pablo Tamba	F	18	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	1	5
Niko Rocak	F	16	1-1	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	1	5
Jac Mani	F	6	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Drew Carter	G	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Ade Adebayo	Forward	26	0-2	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	2
Connor Sevilla	G	7	0-2	0-2	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Sione Lose	Guard	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Francesco Borra	Forward	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Sam Manu	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	29	5-9	2-3	4-4	7	1	1	1	16
Kaleb Higgins	Guard	31	5-12	1-6	4-4	2	4	1	0	15
Marvin McGhee III	G	31	5-10	4-8	0-0	5	1	0	0	14
Cameron Wilbon	Guard	28	3-7	1-3	4-5	5	1	1	0	11
Tom Mark	F	33	3-8	0-1	2-5	4	2	3	1	8
Corey Stephenson	G	9	2-6	1-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	7
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	11	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	0	4
Naseem Gaskin	Guard	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	2	0
Dalph Panopio	Guard	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Kareem Watson	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

89.2Offensive Efficiency119.4

119.4Defensive Efficiency89.2

-30.3Net Efficiency30.3

40.2%Effective FG%49.1%

50.0%True Shooting %54.8%

22.2%Turnover Rate16.0%

45.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

43.5%3-Point Rate39.7%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.