American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%American University

64.0%Colgate

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColgate -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINEColgate -178

Colgate

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 73

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreColgate 77

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricColgate

48.2MMH Power Index48.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency111.7

105.8Defensive Efficiency109.0

4.8Net Efficiency2.7

-4.3Strength of Schedule-2.0

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

67.5Tempo68.4

52.6%Effective FG%54.5%

15.7%Turnover Rate14.8%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

30.1%Free Throw Rate30.0%

3.3Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (105.8–109.0), net efficiency (4.8–2.7), recent form (2.2–-0.3), offensive rebounding (28.0–26.9).

Colgate COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.8–48.2), offensive efficiency (111.7–110.6), strength of schedule (-2.0–-4.3).

Final

American University

66—64

Colgate

American University by 2 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATColgate

27-57FG24-47

47.0%FG%51.0%

9-213PT5-13

43.0%3PT%38.0%

3-6FT11-17

50.0%FT%65.0%

30Rebounds29

7Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists17

12Turnovers14

7Steals4

—Blocks2

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	34	9-20	4-9	1-1	7	1	0	23
Elijah Stephens	Guard	34	8-12	0-1	1-2	2	3	3	17
Geoff Sprouse	G	20	5-9	4-6	0-0	3	0	0	14
Lincoln Ball	Guard	36	3-7	0-1	1-1	9	3	2	7
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	34	1-4	1-1	0-2	3	4	1	3
Greg Jones	F	22	1-5	0-3	0-0	4	2	1	2
Adrian Samuels	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Mason Whittaker	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Chris Gleaton	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Moffatt	Forward	27	8-9	3-4	1-2	1	1	0	1	20
Jeff Woodward	Forward	13	5-5	0-0	0-3	1	0	0	0	10
Braeden Smith	G	31	2-7	0-2	5-6	4	5	1	0	9
Keegan Records	Forward	27	2-8	0-1	5-6	7	2	2	0	9
Jalen Cox	G	30	3-8	1-3	0-0	5	5	0	0	7
Brady Cummins	G	25	2-4	1-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	5
Parker Jones	G	16	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Sam Thomson	Forward	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Chandler Baker	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Alex Capitano	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

101.5Offensive Efficiency98.5

98.5Defensive Efficiency101.5

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

55.3%Effective FG%56.4%

55.1%True Shooting %58.1%

18.5%Turnover Rate21.5%

10.5%Free Throw Rate36.2%

36.8%3-Point Rate27.7%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

American University won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.