Ohio State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.0%Ohio State

75.0%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -300

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio State 71

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreMichigan State 80

Team Comparison

Ohio StateMetricMichigan State

64.5MMH Power Index69.8

118.1Offensive Efficiency117.0

108.1Defensive Efficiency101.5

10.0Net Efficiency15.5

6.4Strength of Schedule7.2

6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

67.2Tempo67.3

56.9%Effective FG%54.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

38.3%Free Throw Rate36.6%

6.7Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–64.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–108.1), net efficiency (15.5–10.0), strength of schedule (7.2–6.4).

Ohio State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.1–117.0), shooting efficiency (56.9–54.1), ball security (15.3–17.2).

Final

Ohio State

60—57

Michigan State

Ohio State by 3 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ohio StateTEAM STATMichigan State

22-57FG22-55

39.0%FG%40.0%

3-173PT4-15

18.0%3PT%27.0%

13-18FT9-11

72.0%FT%82.0%

39Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists9

10Turnovers10

7Steals8

5Blocks5

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Royal	F	18	6-6	0-0	2-2	2	0	2	0	14
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	27	3-11	0-3	6-6	8	2	2	1	12
Bruce Thornton	G	37	4-13	1-6	2-2	4	3	0	0	11
Felix Okpara	F	32	5-8	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	2	10
Dale Bonner	Guard	20	2-8	2-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Zed Key	Forward	11	1-3	0-0	2-3	7	0	0	1	4
Scotty Middleton	F	21	1-3	0-1	1-3	1	1	1	0	3
Evan Mahaffey	F	22	0-4	0-1	0-2	1	1	0	1	0
Bowen Hardman	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Taison Chatman	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Hall	Forward	28	5-9	1-3	4-4	7	1	0	0	15
Tyson Walker	Guard	33	5-16	1-6	1-2	3	0	1	0	12
AJ Hoggard	Guard	30	4-8	1-1	0-0	2	4	1	0	9
Xavier Booker	C	17	3-6	1-3	0-1	2	0	0	3	7
Jaden Akins	Guard	34	1-8	0-2	2-2	3	2	3	1	4
Mady Sissoko	Center	15	1-1	0-0	2-2	6	0	1	0	4
Tre Holloman	G	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	1	2
Jaxon Kohler	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Coen Carr	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Carson Cooper	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

96.2Offensive Efficiency91.3

91.3Defensive Efficiency96.2

4.8Net Efficiency-4.8

41.2%Effective FG%43.6%

45.8%True Shooting %47.3%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.1%

31.6%Free Throw Rate20.0%

29.8%3-Point Rate27.3%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Ohio State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.