Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%Ball State

69.2%Central Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Michigan -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Michigan -225

Central Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 70

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 75

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricCentral Michigan

41.3MMH Power Index44

101.7Offensive Efficiency105.9

104.7Defensive Efficiency111.0

-3.0Net Efficiency-5.1

-3.9Strength of Schedule-0.5

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

66.4Tempo69.3

48.3%Effective FG%52.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate18.3%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

33.0%Free Throw Rate32.9%

-2.0Average Margin-3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.9–101.7), strength of schedule (-0.5–-3.9), recent form (1.3–-0.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–111.0), net efficiency (-3.0–-5.1), ball security (16.0–18.3).

Final

Ball State

79—71

Central Michigan

Ball State by 8 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATCentral Michigan

28-57FG25-60

49.0%FG%42.0%

10-233PT10-25

43.0%3PT%40.0%

13-16FT11-15

81.0%FT%73.0%

37Rebounds30

12Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists11

13Turnovers14

6Steals5

4Blocks2

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	37	9-13	3-5	4-4	4	0	0	1	25
Davion Bailey	G	38	7-14	4-10	0-0	5	1	2	0	18
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	38	5-11	2-3	2-4	5	3	3	0	14
Basheer Jihad	Forward	35	4-8	1-3	4-4	7	4	1	3	13
Trent Middleton Jr.	G	20	2-4	0-1	2-2	3	4	0	0	6
Ben Hendriks	Center	6	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Mason Jones	F	26	0-4	0-1	1-2	7	2	0	0	1

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Paul McMillan IV	G	39	10-14	4-7	1-2	2	0	1	0	25
Derrick Butler	Guard	34	3-13	2-6	8-9	7	3	1	0	16
Brian Taylor	Guard	34	3-7	0-0	1-1	6	1	0	0	7
Markus Harding	C	30	3-7	0-1	1-3	6	4	2	1	7
Jemal Davis	Forward	16	3-9	1-4	0-0	4	1	1	1	7
Cayden Vasko	G	24	2-6	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Aidan Rubio	G	22	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
KJ Oduor	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

117.2Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency117.2

11.9Net Efficiency-11.9

57.9%Effective FG%50.0%

61.1%True Shooting %52.9%

19.8%Turnover Rate20.3%

28.1%Free Throw Rate25.0%

40.4%3-Point Rate41.7%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Ball State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.