NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.3%NC State

58.7%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida State -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -142

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 81

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScoreFlorida State 82

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricFlorida State

60.1MMH Power Index58.7

118.4Offensive Efficiency111.9

108.6Defensive Efficiency108.5

9.8Net Efficiency3.4

6.4Strength of Schedule5.7

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

70.2Tempo71.8

55.1%Effective FG%52.4%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

35.7%Free Throw Rate35.2%

6.9Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–58.7), offensive efficiency (118.4–111.9), net efficiency (9.8–3.4), strength of schedule (6.4–5.7).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.5–108.6), recent form (7.6–-11.9), offensive rebounding (30.3–28.2).

Final

NC State

83—90

Florida State

Florida State by 7 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATFlorida State

30-63FG37-62

48.0%FG%60.0%

10-213PT5-14

48.0%3PT%36.0%

13-20FT11-14

65.0%FT%79.0%

32Rebounds27

14Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists16

14Turnovers11

6Steals7

3Blocks5

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Taylor	Guard	23	7-11	4-6	6-9	5	2	1	0	24
Casey Morsell	Guard	33	8-15	2-3	1-2	4	6	1	2	19
DJ Horne	Guard	37	6-17	3-8	0-0	2	0	2	0	15
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	34	6-10	1-3	0-1	9	0	0	0	13
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	28	3-4	0-0	6-8	7	0	1	0	12
Michael O'Connell	Guard	18	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
DJ Burns	Forward	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	1	0
Ernest Ross	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Breon Pass	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kam Woods	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	34	8-11	1-2	2-3	3	2	2	0	19
Primo Spears	Guard	25	5-9	1-2	3-4	1	6	1	0	14
Cameron Corhen	F	25	5-9	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	1	11
Chandler Jackson	G	17	4-6	0-1	1-1	3	1	0	1	9
Baba Miller	F	23	3-6	0-1	2-2	7	1	0	1	8
Jalen Warley	G	23	3-5	0-0	2-2	3	3	2	0	8
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	20	3-8	2-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	8
De'Ante Green	F	8	3-5	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	7
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Jaylan Gainey	Forward	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Josh Nickelberry	Guard	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

115.1Offensive Efficiency124.8

124.8Defensive Efficiency115.1

-9.7Net Efficiency9.7

55.6%Effective FG%63.7%

57.2%True Shooting %65.5%

19.3%Turnover Rate15.4%

31.7%Free Throw Rate22.6%

33.3%3-Point Rate22.6%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Florida State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.