Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.0%Penn State

95.0%Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa -20.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa -1900

Iowa

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 64

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreIowa 84

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricIowa

42.3MMH Power Index64.2

109.2Offensive Efficiency118.4

117.6Defensive Efficiency105.2

-8.4Net Efficiency13.2

5.3Strength of Schedule5.3

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

67.5Tempo63.0

53.4%Effective FG%56.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

34.6%Free Throw Rate36.2%

-5.7Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.2–42.3), offensive efficiency (118.4–109.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–117.6), net efficiency (13.2–-8.4).

Final

Penn State

81—90

Iowa

Iowa by 9 • 78.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATIowa

32-71FG25-53

45.0%FG%47.0%

4-173PT8-16

24.0%3PT%50.0%

13-23FT32-37

57.0%FT%86.0%

41Rebounds34

15Offensive Rebounds4

14Assists22

12Turnovers12

8Steals6

1Blocks5

23Fouls20

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Qudus Wahab	Forward	28	8-11	0-0	2-7	7	0	1	0	18
RayQuawndis Mitchell	Guard	15	6-6	1-1	3-5	5	0	1	0	16
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	40	5-15	0-2	1-2	4	9	2	0	11
Puff Johnson	G	18	4-6	1-1	0-0	5	1	2	0	9
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	27	3-8	0-1	1-3	3	3	1	1	7
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	9	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	15	0-3	0-0	4-4	2	0	0	0	4
Jameel Brown	G	11	1-6	0-4	2-2	2	0	1	0	4
Demetrius Lilley	C	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Zach Hicks	Forward	28	1-10	0-5	0-0	7	1	0	0	2
Favour Aire	C	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Payton Sandfort	Forward	37	3-11	2-7	18-19	10	10	1	3	26
Josh Dix	G	34	8-10	2-3	2-2	0	1	1	0	20
Owen Freeman	F	26	5-9	0-0	1-4	8	0	1	1	11
Tony Perkins	Guard	28	3-4	0-1	4-4	5	5	2	1	10
Ben Krikke	Forward	22	1-5	0-0	5-6	2	0	1	0	7
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	21	1-6	1-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	5
Ladji Dembele	F	9	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Brock Harding	G	17	1-4	1-1	0-0	1	4	0	0	3
Pryce Sandfort	F	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

78.8Possessions78.8

102.8Offensive Efficiency114.2

114.2Defensive Efficiency102.8

-11.4Net Efficiency11.4

47.9%Effective FG%54.7%

49.4%True Shooting %63.8%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

32.4%Free Throw Rate69.8%

23.9%3-Point Rate30.2%

1.17Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Iowa won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 78.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.