Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

97.2%Boise State

2.8%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -22.5

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -3471

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 85

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreAir Force 63

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricAir Force

59.5MMH Power Index23

113.9Offensive Efficiency91.3

107.1Defensive Efficiency118.5

6.8Net Efficiency-27.2

4.2Strength of Schedule6.2

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

68.6Tempo67.4

52.7%Effective FG%49.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate21.9%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

42.7%Free Throw Rate35.9%

4.7Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–23.0), offensive efficiency (113.9–91.3), defensive efficiency (107.1–118.5), net efficiency (6.8–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–4.2).

Final

Boise State

79—48

Air Force

Boise State by 31 • 60.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATAir Force

24-50FG17-39

48.0%FG%44.0%

7-183PT5-18

39.0%3PT%28.0%

24-27FT9-15

89.0%FT%60.0%

31Rebounds20

7Offensive Rebounds2

11Assists10

6Turnovers14

6Steals4

1Blocks4

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	31	6-11	0-1	9-10	5	2	1	0	21
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	28	5-7	4-5	3-4	6	0	0	1	17
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	21	5-8	0-0	5-5	2	1	0	0	15
Roddie Anderson	G	19	2-3	0-0	4-4	4	2	1	0	8
Jace Whiting	G	19	3-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	7
Cam Martin	Forward	25	1-6	0-0	3-4	6	2	2	0	5
Max Rice	Guard	25	1-7	1-7	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Kobe Young	Guard	7	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
R.J. Keene II	G	20	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Andrew Meadow	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kade Rice	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rytis Petraitis	F	39	5-12	2-5	7-8	9	3	0	1	19
Ethan Taylor	Guard	30	3-9	1-6	1-2	2	4	0	0	8
Byron Brown	Guard	20	3-4	1-1	0-2	0	1	1	0	7
Wesley Celichowski	C	18	3-4	0-1	0-1	1	0	0	2	6
Kellan Boylan	F	36	1-2	1-1	1-2	5	2	1	1	4
Luke Kearney	F	31	2-6	0-3	0-0	2	0	2	0	4
Beau Becker	Forward	22	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chase Beasley	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kolby Gilles	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.0Possessions60.0

131.7Offensive Efficiency80.0

80.0Defensive Efficiency131.7

51.7Net Efficiency-51.7

55.0%Effective FG%50.0%

62.9%True Shooting %52.0%

9.7%Turnover Rate24.1%

54.0%Free Throw Rate38.5%

36.0%3-Point Rate46.2%

1.83Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Boise State won by 31 points. The game played at approximately 60.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.