Nevada

24-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Nevada

50.5%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -102

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNevada 74

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreColorado State 75

Team Comparison

NevadaMetricColorado State

59.8MMH Power Index55.4

112.4Offensive Efficiency117.1

105.7Defensive Efficiency109.9

6.7Net Efficiency7.2

3.7Strength of Schedule0.4

7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

67.7Tempo64.7

50.2%Effective FG%58.6%

14.8%Turnover Rate18.3%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

46.0%Free Throw Rate41.2%

4.5Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nevada HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNevada holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–55.4), defensive efficiency (105.7–109.9), strength of schedule (3.7–0.4), recent form (7.8–4.3).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–112.4), net efficiency (7.2–6.7), shooting efficiency (58.6–50.2).

Final

Nevada

77—74

Colorado State

Nevada by 3 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NevadaTEAM STATColorado State

22-54FG25-52

41.0%FG%48.0%

10-213PT6-18

48.0%3PT%33.0%

23-30FT18-22

77.0%FT%82.0%

34Rebounds30

11Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists20

7Turnovers8

6Steals4

4Blocks4

22Fouls23

Player Box Score

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarod Lucas	Guard	37	6-18	3-5	8-11	7	3	1	0	23
Tre Coleman	Forward	30	6-8	3-4	1-1	4	2	0	2	16
Hunter McIntosh	Guard	31	4-11	2-7	4-4	2	1	1	0	14
Daniel Foster	Guard	27	4-6	2-3	3-4	3	2	2	1	13
Tyler Rolison	G	12	1-2	0-0	4-4	1	1	1	0	6
K.J. Hymes	Forward	19	1-2	0-0	1-4	2	0	0	0	3
Nick Davidson	F	36	0-6	0-2	2-2	12	1	1	1	2
Tylan Pope	Forward	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	36	9-15	2-6	3-3	5	6	2	0	23
Joel Scott	Forward	32	6-10	0-0	3-4	5	2	0	2	15
Nique Clifford	Guard	34	4-8	2-4	0-0	5	5	1	2	10
Patrick Cartier	Forward	30	2-6	0-1	4-5	8	4	0	0	8
Jalen Lake	Guard	23	2-5	1-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Rashaan Mbemba	F	10	1-2	1-1	3-4	3	1	1	0	6
Joe Palmer	Guard	8	0-2	0-2	3-4	0	1	0	0	3
Josiah Strong	Guard	23	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Kyan Evans	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

119.6Offensive Efficiency114.9

114.9Defensive Efficiency119.6

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

50.0%Effective FG%53.8%

56.4%True Shooting %59.2%

10.9%Turnover Rate12.4%

55.6%Free Throw Rate42.3%

38.9%3-Point Rate34.6%

1.43Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Nevada won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.