Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.1%Lafayette

91.9%Navy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNavy -17.5

PROJECTED TOTAL141.3

MODEL MONEYLINENavy -1135

Navy

26-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 62

Projected Total141.3

Projected ScoreNavy 79

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricNavy

39.6MMH Power Index56.8

102.9Offensive Efficiency113.2

110.3Defensive Efficiency97.6

-7.4Net Efficiency15.6

-1.4Strength of Schedule-8.1

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency16.4

67.5Tempo65.9

49.4%Effective FG%53.7%

15.4%Turnover Rate17.1%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

33.0%Free Throw Rate40.9%

-5.0Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Navy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNavy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.8–39.6), offensive efficiency (113.2–102.9), defensive efficiency (97.6–110.3), net efficiency (15.6–-7.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-8.1), ball security (15.4–17.1).

Final

Lafayette

58—62

Navy

Navy by 4 • 62.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATNavy

21-53FG22-66

40.0%FG%33.0%

6-173PT8-23

35.0%3PT%35.0%

10-15FT10-13

67.0%FT%77.0%

36Rebounds44

10Offensive Rebounds19

12Assists12

13Turnovers9

5Steals3

9Blocks4

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	29	5-11	2-5	3-6	5	0	2	2	15
Devin Hines	G	29	5-11	3-6	1-2	4	3	0	2	14
Justin Vander Baan	C	20	4-8	0-0	4-4	7	2	0	2	12
Chris Rubayo	F	14	5-10	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	2	10
Luka Savicevic	G	19	1-5	1-2	0-1	4	2	1	0	3
Mark Butler	G	33	0-2	0-0	2-2	3	3	0	0	2
Joshua Wyche	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Eric Sondberg	Guard	21	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ryan Pettit	G	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Luke Rasmussen	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Misha Bednostin	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Andrew Phillips	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Navy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Austin Benigni	G	31	5-16	2-5	6-6	2	5	0	0	18
Donovan Draper	F	26	4-6	3-4	3-4	6	2	1	0	14
Mac MacDonald	Guard	24	5-11	1-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	11
Aidan Kehoe	C	30	3-5	0-0	0-1	10	3	1	2	6
Jordan Pennick	G	32	2-9	1-4	0-0	5	0	0	1	5
Mike Woods	F	13	2-8	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	4
Lysander Rehnstrom	Guard	24	1-8	1-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Austin Inge	Guard	11	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Mitch Fischer	Forward	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.7Possessions62.7

92.5Offensive Efficiency98.9

98.9Defensive Efficiency92.5

-6.4Net Efficiency6.4

45.3%Effective FG%39.4%

48.2%True Shooting %43.0%

20.6%Turnover Rate14.5%

28.3%Free Throw Rate19.7%

32.1%3-Point Rate34.8%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Navy won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 62.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.