Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.9%Arkansas State

33.1%Coastal Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -202

Coastal Carolina

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 80

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreCoastal Carolina 76

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricCoastal Carolina

57.7MMH Power Index46.8

113.1Offensive Efficiency104.0

105.3Defensive Efficiency103.0

7.8Net Efficiency1.0

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.3

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

73.3Tempo70.5

52.7%Effective FG%48.7%

19.4%Turnover Rate15.3%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

39.6%Free Throw Rate33.0%

5.8Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–46.8), offensive efficiency (113.1–104.0), net efficiency (7.8–1.0), strength of schedule (-1.0–-1.3).

Coastal Carolina COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.0–105.3), ball security (15.3–19.4).

Final

Arkansas State

71—60

Coastal Carolina

Arkansas State by 11 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATCoastal Carolina

28-71FG24-68

39.0%FG%35.0%

7-303PT3-16

23.0%3PT%19.0%

8-12FT9-12

67.0%FT%75.0%

49Rebounds44

14Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists8

8Turnovers9

4Steals3

3Blocks5

12Fouls11

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Izaiyah Nelson	F	28	8-12	0-1	0-0	12	1	0	0	16
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	26	5-13	2-5	2-3	7	3	0	1	14
Derrian Ford	G	35	3-10	1-6	2-2	8	0	0	0	9
Taryn Todd	Guard	26	4-13	1-8	0-1	5	4	1	0	9
Caleb Fields	Guard	37	1-6	0-2	4-6	3	5	1	0	6
Freddy Hicks	G	18	2-9	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	1	5
Avery Felts	Guard	15	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	5
Julian Lual	Guard	10	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Lado Laku	Forward	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Coastal Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Meyer	G	40	7-20	1-4	2-2	5	3	1	0	17
Ginika Ojiako	Center	34	7-17	0-0	0-1	15	1	1	0	14
Kevin Easley Jr.	Forward	24	5-10	0-2	2-2	3	0	0	1	12
Kylan Blackmon	G	39	3-12	1-5	4-5	5	0	1	1	11
Braeden MacVicar	F	28	2-6	1-5	0-0	10	1	0	3	5
Miroslav Stafl	Center	6	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Henry Abraham	Guard	27	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Ian Granja	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency84.3

84.3Defensive Efficiency99.7

15.4Net Efficiency-15.4

44.4%Effective FG%37.5%

46.3%True Shooting %40.7%

11.3%Turnover Rate12.6%

16.9%Free Throw Rate17.6%

42.3%3-Point Rate23.5%

1.75Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.