California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.9%California

52.1%Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado -109

Colorado

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 79

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreColorado 80

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricColorado

56.5MMH Power Index52.7

111.8Offensive Efficiency112.9

104.8Defensive Efficiency112.4

7.0Net Efficiency0.5

2.8Strength of Schedule5.1

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

69.9Tempo71.0

52.6%Effective FG%53.0%

14.9%Turnover Rate14.6%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

36.8%Free Throw Rate37.9%

4.9Average Margin0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.9–111.8), strength of schedule (5.1–2.8), shooting efficiency (53.0–52.6), ball security (14.6–14.9).

California COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (56.5–52.7), defensive efficiency (104.8–112.4), net efficiency (7.0–0.5).

Final

California

78—88

Colorado

Colorado by 10 • 76.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATColorado

29-69FG29-58

42.0%FG%50.0%

9-313PT7-16

29.0%3PT%44.0%

11-14FT23-29

79.0%FT%79.0%

31Rebounds40

9Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists18

12Turnovers12

10Steals8

4Blocks1

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	32	9-19	2-7	5-5	5	4	1	0	25
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	32	6-10	1-4	0-0	5	2	0	0	13
Jalen Celestine	G	33	4-10	3-6	0-0	3	0	5	0	11
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	31	5-13	0-3	1-3	11	2	1	4	11
Jalen Cone	Guard	36	1-10	0-6	4-4	1	2	0	0	6
Rodney Brown	G	11	2-4	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Grant Newell	F	16	1-2	1-2	1-2	3	0	1	0	4
Devin Curtis	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	0	2
Gus Larson	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KJ Simpson	Guard	40	8-15	2-5	9-11	7	8	4	0	27
Tristan da Silva	Forward	39	7-13	1-5	7-7	7	6	2	1	22
J'Vonne Hadley	G	39	4-8	0-0	5-7	4	3	0	0	13
Eddie Lampkin Jr.	Center	31	6-11	0-0	0-2	8	0	1	0	12
Luke O'Brien	Forward	29	2-7	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Javon Ruffin	G	11	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Assane Diop	F	11	0-1	0-0	2-2	7	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

76.8Possessions76.8

101.6Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency101.6

-13.0Net Efficiency13.0

48.6%Effective FG%56.0%

51.6%True Shooting %61.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.0%

20.3%Free Throw Rate50.0%

44.9%3-Point Rate27.6%

0.83Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Colorado won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 76.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.