UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%UCF

52.7%Oklahoma State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOklahoma State -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL168.2

MODEL MONEYLINEOklahoma State -111

Oklahoma State

20-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 83

Projected Total168.2

Projected ScoreOklahoma State 85

Team Comparison

UCFMetricOklahoma State

57.1MMH Power Index53.5

113.3Offensive Efficiency112.1

110.0Defensive Efficiency111.2

3.3Net Efficiency0.9

6.6Strength of Schedule6.1

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

71.2Tempo74.8

53.0%Effective FG%52.2%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.8%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

31.1%Free Throw Rate40.3%

2.4Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–53.5), offensive efficiency (113.3–112.1), defensive efficiency (110.0–111.2), net efficiency (3.3–0.9).

Oklahoma State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.8–16.0), free throw rate (40.3–31.1).

Final

UCF

77—71

Oklahoma State

UCF by 6 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATOklahoma State

22-52FG21-52

42.0%FG%40.0%

6-163PT5-20

38.0%3PT%25.0%

27-36FT24-30

75.0%FT%80.0%

40Rebounds27

14Offensive Rebounds7

7Assists8

17Turnovers12

7Steals8

1Blocks3

26Fouls28

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Johnson	Guard	35	4-11	1-5	6-7	5	1	2	0	15
Shemarri Allen	Guard	32	2-4	0-0	10-12	4	2	2	0	14
Jaylin Sellers	G	26	4-10	2-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	12
C.J. Walker	Forward	23	2-5	2-2	4-6	6	0	1	0	10
Ibrahima Diallo	Forward	15	4-6	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	9
Marchelus Avery	Forward	15	2-5	1-3	2-3	2	2	1	0	7
Omar Payne	Forward	12	2-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Antwann Jones	G	12	1-2	0-1	2-4	2	1	0	0	4
Thierno Sylla	C	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	0	2
DeMarr Langford Jr.	Not Available	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Oklahoma State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John-Michael Wright	Guard	37	5-14	5-13	7-9	1	0	2	0	22
Eric Dailey Jr.	F	25	4-6	0-1	7-7	4	0	1	0	15
Javon Small	Guard	29	4-7	0-1	5-6	5	2	1	0	13
Jamyron Keller	G	30	3-9	0-3	3-4	2	3	2	0	9
Brandon Garrison	F	25	1-5	0-0	2-4	6	2	0	3	4
Quion Williams	G	25	2-7	0-1	0-0	3	1	2	0	4
Mike Marsh	Center	7	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Jarius Hicklen	Guard	20	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Connor Dow	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

107.4Offensive Efficiency99.0

99.0Defensive Efficiency107.4

8.4Net Efficiency-8.4

48.1%Effective FG%45.2%

55.7%True Shooting %53.6%

23.6%Turnover Rate16.8%

69.2%Free Throw Rate57.7%

30.8%3-Point Rate38.5%

0.41Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

UCF won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.