Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.0%Belmont

40.0%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL164.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -150

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 84

Projected Total164.8

Projected ScoreMurray State 81

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricMurray State

61.8MMH Power Index53.6

118.6Offensive Efficiency115.0

103.7Defensive Efficiency111.0

14.9Net Efficiency4.0

-0.2Strength of Schedule3.5

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

70.7Tempo72.3

60.7%Effective FG%54.0%

17.8%Turnover Rate16.3%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

32.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

10.5Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–53.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–115.0), defensive efficiency (103.7–111.0), net efficiency (14.9–4.0).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.5–-0.2), ball security (16.3–17.8), offensive rebounding (32.7–28.8).

Final

Belmont

83—61

Murray State

Belmont by 22 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATMurray State

32-60FG24-56

53.0%FG%43.0%

12-263PT4-16

46.0%3PT%25.0%

7-9FT9-15

78.0%FT%60.0%

34Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds8

19Assists10

8Turnovers10

6Steals4

4Blocks1

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Dia	F	26	10-16	0-1	5-6	8	0	1	1	25
Cade Tyson	G	30	7-10	5-7	0-0	10	1	1	0	19
Keishawn Davidson	Guard	34	4-7	3-4	2-2	1	4	1	0	13
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	32	5-9	1-4	0-0	1	5	1	1	11
Jayce Willingham	Guard	28	2-9	1-6	0-0	6	2	1	0	5
Isaiah Walker	G	19	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	5
Brigham Rogers	F	14	2-3	1-1	0-1	4	2	1	1	5
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Win Miller	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Keith Robbins	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Jake Dykstra	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Perry	Guard	30	5-11	0-3	4-4	8	2	2	0	14
Lawrent Rice	Guard	19	5-8	1-3	0-2	6	0	0	0	11
Quincy Anderson	Guard	32	3-11	2-5	2-2	4	2	1	0	10
JaCobi Wood	Guard	38	3-9	1-3	1-3	3	4	1	0	8
Shawn Walker Jr.	Guard	25	4-6	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Malek Abdelgowad	F	15	2-5	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	6
Nick Ellington	F	25	2-5	0-0	0-2	3	2	0	0	4
Justin Morgan	Guard	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Patrick Chew	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

127.3Offensive Efficiency93.6

93.6Defensive Efficiency127.3

33.7Net Efficiency-33.7

63.3%Effective FG%46.4%

64.6%True Shooting %48.3%

12.3%Turnover Rate15.4%

15.0%Free Throw Rate26.8%

43.3%3-Point Rate28.6%

2.38Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Belmont won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.