Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.4%Indiana State

28.6%Evansville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -5.3

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -250

Evansville

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 76

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreEvansville 71

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricEvansville

44.4MMH Power Index31.6

104.7Offensive Efficiency98.5

106.0Defensive Efficiency112.4

-1.3Net Efficiency-13.9

0.1Strength of Schedule1.8

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-23.0

70.3Tempo68.0

53.6%Effective FG%50.0%

19.5%Turnover Rate18.9%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %22.2%

28.8%Free Throw Rate30.8%

-0.9Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–31.6), offensive efficiency (104.7–98.5), defensive efficiency (106.0–112.4), net efficiency (-1.3–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.1), ball security (18.9–19.5), free throw rate (30.8–28.8).

Final

Indiana State

85—67

Evansville

Indiana State by 18 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATEvansville

31-61FG23-60

51.0%FG%38.0%

13-323PT6-18

41.0%3PT%33.0%

10-12FT15-16

83.0%FT%94.0%

39Rebounds30

10Offensive Rebounds8

25Assists6

10Turnovers7

5Steals8

—Blocks4

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Robbie Avila	C	35	14-24	1-5	6-8	8	5	1	35
Ryan Conwell	G	37	5-9	5-8	0-0	7	3	0	15
Xavier Bledson	Guard	28	4-7	2-4	2-2	3	5	0	12
Isaiah Swope	Guard	34	4-11	3-9	0-0	5	4	1	11
Julian Larry	Guard	36	3-5	2-3	0-0	6	8	3	8
Jake Wolfe	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	2
Derek Vorst	C	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Jayson Kent	Forward	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0
Jaden Daughtry	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Aaron Gray	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Eli Shetlar	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Masen Miller	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kenny Strawbridge Jr.	Guard	23	4-9	0-2	6-6	5	2	1	0	14
Gage Bobe	Guard	28	3-5	3-5	1-1	0	0	1	0	10
Tanner Cuff	G	21	3-10	0-3	4-4	2	2	2	0	10
Yacine Toumi	F	27	3-10	0-0	3-4	8	1	0	0	9
Antonio Thomas	Guard	29	3-6	0-0	1-1	2	1	3	0	7
Ben Humrichous	F	20	3-9	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	7
Cam Haffner	G	18	2-6	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	1	5
Tyler Myers	Guard	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Chuck Bailey III	G	6	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Joshua Hughes	F	20	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	3	0
Sekou Kalle	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dakota Candler	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Michael Day	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Weston Aigner	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

127.4Offensive Efficiency100.4

100.4Defensive Efficiency127.4

27.0Net Efficiency-27.0

61.5%Effective FG%43.3%

63.7%True Shooting %49.6%

15.0%Turnover Rate10.5%

19.7%Free Throw Rate26.7%

52.5%3-Point Rate30.0%

2.50Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.