Southern Miss

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.7%Southern Miss

66.3%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -197

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 71

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 77

Team Comparison

Southern MissMetricSouth Alabama

49.9MMH Power Index51.4

106.1Offensive Efficiency110.3

104.9Defensive Efficiency103.9

1.2Net Efficiency6.4

-0.2Strength of Schedule-3.7

3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

70.4Tempo67.4

49.9%Effective FG%53.2%

18.4%Turnover Rate12.8%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

43.9%Free Throw Rate39.8%

0.9Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.9), offensive efficiency (110.3–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.9–104.9), net efficiency (6.4–1.2).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.2–-3.7), recent form (3.8–3.4), offensive rebounding (32.3–24.9).

Final

Southern Miss

70—73

South Alabama

South Alabama by 3 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern MissTEAM STATSouth Alabama

25-56FG29-61

45.0%FG%48.0%

3-193PT10-28

16.0%3PT%36.0%

17-23FT5-9

74.0%FT%56.0%

34Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds8

6Assists12

12Turnovers15

10Steals8

5Blocks3

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andre Curbelo	Guard	40	10-16	1-4	4-5	6	0	2	0	25
Victor Iwuakor	Forward	31	6-11	0-1	4-6	9	0	4	3	16
Victor Hart	Forward	39	3-10	0-3	4-6	5	1	0	0	10
Austin Crowley	Guard	29	3-9	2-6	2-2	2	3	1	0	10
Tegra Izay	C	23	2-3	0-0	1-2	4	1	2	0	5
Mo Arnold	Guard	20	1-3	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	1	2
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	13	0-4	0-4	0-0	0	1	1	1	0
Bryson Hall	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julian Margrave	F	30	6-11	6-10	0-0	1	0	1	0	18
Samuel Tabe	Guard	26	6-10	0-0	1-2	3	1	3	0	13
Marcus Millender	G	35	3-8	2-4	0-1	3	7	0	0	8
Tyrell Jones	Guard	29	2-9	0-4	4-4	5	3	1	0	8
Judah Brown	Forward	23	3-9	2-7	0-0	5	0	0	0	8
Thomas Howell	Forward	18	3-3	0-0	0-2	7	0	1	1	6
Marshall Kearing	Forward	9	3-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	6
Isiah Gaiter	Guard	17	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	2	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

97.1Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency97.1

-4.2Net Efficiency4.2

47.3%Effective FG%55.7%

52.3%True Shooting %55.9%

16.7%Turnover Rate20.8%

41.1%Free Throw Rate14.8%

33.9%3-Point Rate45.9%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.