William & Mary

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.2%William & Mary

39.8%Elon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWilliam & Mary -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL162.6

MODEL MONEYLINEWilliam & Mary -151

Elon

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWilliam & Mary 82

Projected Total162.6

Projected ScoreElon 80

Team Comparison

William & MaryMetricElon

53.8MMH Power Index45.5

112.5Offensive Efficiency113.0

105.2Defensive Efficiency112.7

7.3Net Efficiency0.3

-1.5Strength of Schedule-1.4

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-13.7

73.9Tempo69.1

55.3%Effective FG%52.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %33.4%

45.3%Free Throw Rate34.0%

5.4Average Margin0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

William & Mary HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWilliam & Mary holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–45.5), defensive efficiency (105.2–112.7), net efficiency (7.3–0.3), recent form (3.5–-13.7).

Elon COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.0–112.5), strength of schedule (-1.4–-1.5), ball security (15.6–16.4).

Final

William & Mary

71—76

Elon

Elon by 5 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

William & MaryTEAM STATElon

26-53FG26-55

49.0%FG%47.0%

13-313PT9-23

42.0%3PT%39.0%

6-13FT15-24

46.0%FT%63.0%

29Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds14

19Assists15

12Turnovers11

6Steals7

1Blocks2

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

William & Mary

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gabe Dorsey	Guard	33	6-11	6-11	2-3	2	0	0	0	20
Caleb Dorsey	Forward	31	4-8	2-5	2-2	6	3	0	0	12
Chase Lowe	G	26	5-8	0-0	0-2	5	6	1	1	10
Sean Houpt	Guard	30	3-9	3-8	0-2	3	0	1	0	9
Miles Hicks	G	11	2-3	2-3	2-2	1	1	0	0	8
Tai Hamilton	F	7	4-4	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	8
Trey Moss	G	26	1-4	0-3	0-0	2	2	2	0	2
Matteus Case	Guard	23	1-4	0-1	0-0	6	4	2	0	2
Jayden Lemond	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Charlie Williams	C	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Takai Simpkins	G	33	6-9	1-2	5-7	8	2	3	0	18
Nick Dorn	G	29	4-10	4-10	2-2	2	0	0	0	14
Max Mackinnon	G	24	4-10	1-4	4-4	5	5	1	0	13
Sam Sherry	Forward	24	5-9	0-0	0-3	6	2	0	1	10
Zac Ervin	Guard	15	2-6	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
LA Pratt	G	23	2-5	1-2	0-0	2	3	1	0	5
Isaac Harrell	F	20	1-2	1-2	1-4	5	1	2	0	4
Deandre Smart	Forward	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	1	4
Kendall Campbell	F	16	0-2	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

113.1Offensive Efficiency121.0

121.0Defensive Efficiency113.1

-8.0Net Efficiency8.0

61.3%Effective FG%55.5%

60.0%True Shooting %57.2%

19.3%Turnover Rate17.4%

24.5%Free Throw Rate43.6%

58.5%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.58Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Elon won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.