UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

85.6%UMBC

14.4%NJIT

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL139.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -594

NJIT

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 75

Projected Total139.0

Projected ScoreNJIT 64

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricNJIT

59.1MMH Power Index38.5

113.0Offensive Efficiency98.1

99.0Defensive Efficiency107.2

14.0Net Efficiency-9.1

-5.6Strength of Schedule-0.5

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.8

65.5Tempo68.3

54.3%Effective FG%47.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

34.1%Free Throw Rate34.0%

9.1Average Margin-6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–38.5), offensive efficiency (113.0–98.1), defensive efficiency (99.0–107.2), net efficiency (14.0–-9.1).

NJIT COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.9–25.2).

Final

UMBC

79—60

NJIT

UMBC by 19 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATNJIT

28-60FG20-70

47.0%FG%29.0%

4-193PT5-29

21.0%3PT%17.0%

19-22FT15-21

86.0%FT%71.0%

44Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds15

14Assists8

9Turnovers6

5Steals8

5Blocks1

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	37	4-14	0-6	10-12	9	4	0	1	18
Khydarius Smith	Center	22	7-9	0-0	4-4	4	1	0	2	18
Dion Brown	G	34	7-14	1-5	0-0	8	2	2	0	15
Ace Valentine	G	31	4-7	2-3	0-0	6	2	0	1	10
Regimantas Ciunys	F	30	3-5	0-1	3-4	7	2	1	0	9
Franck Emmou	G	15	1-3	1-2	2-2	1	3	0	0	5
Devan Sapp	Guard	12	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Alpha Chibambe	Forward	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Max Lorca-Lloyd	Center	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	0

NJIT

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tariq Francis	G	32	7-18	4-10	4-5	5	2	2	0	22
Elijah Buchanan	Guard	35	4-14	0-1	3-3	8	3	1	0	11
Adam Hess	Guard	28	5-11	1-3	0-0	6	1	1	0	11
Levi Lawal	F	35	2-6	0-0	5-7	10	0	2	1	9
Mekhi Gray	G	36	1-6	0-5	3-6	3	2	1	0	5
Jeffrey Akintolu	F	10	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Justin Anderson	Guard	11	0-5	0-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Sebastian Robinson	G	11	0-6	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jake Goldberg	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

110.0Offensive Efficiency83.6

83.6Defensive Efficiency110.0

26.5Net Efficiency-26.5

50.0%Effective FG%32.1%

56.1%True Shooting %37.5%

12.4%Turnover Rate8.5%

36.7%Free Throw Rate30.0%

31.7%3-Point Rate41.4%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

UMBC won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.