Tennessee State

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.2%Tennessee State

31.8%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -214

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee State 78

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 73

Team Comparison

Tennessee StateMetricLittle Rock

55.4MMH Power Index44

110.9Offensive Efficiency103.0

102.7Defensive Efficiency108.2

8.2Net Efficiency-5.2

-3.1Strength of Schedule0.5

13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

72.4Tempo68.5

50.9%Effective FG%50.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.7%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

34.7%Free Throw Rate28.6%

5.9Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–44.0), offensive efficiency (110.9–103.0), defensive efficiency (102.7–108.2), net efficiency (8.2–-5.2).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-3.1).

Final

Tennessee State

60—85

Little Rock

Little Rock by 25 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tennessee StateTEAM STATLittle Rock

20-51FG30-57

39.0%FG%53.0%

4-213PT6-14

19.0%3PT%43.0%

16-19FT19-22

84.0%FT%86.0%

28Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists16

18Turnovers13

6Steals7

4Blocks5

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
EJ Bellinger	Guard	29	6-12	2-6	1-1	2	2	1	0	15
Kinyon Hodges	Guard	31	4-7	0-1	4-4	8	2	1	0	12
Jaylen Jones	G	29	3-7	0-3	2-3	1	3	0	0	8
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	14	2-6	1-4	2-3	1	0	2	0	7
Jason Jitoboh	Forward	26	1-3	0-0	3-4	2	1	1	2	5
Michael Shanks	Forward	19	1-3	1-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	5
Christian Brown	Guard	20	2-7	0-4	0-0	2	0	1	2	4
Justin Williams	Guard	14	1-5	0-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	2
Denim Dawson	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Emmanuel Dowuona	Forward	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	34	6-9	2-5	8-8	5	3	0	0	22
Bradley Douglas	G	30	8-14	2-4	1-2	5	4	3	0	19
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	35	7-12	0-0	2-3	3	0	0	1	16
KK Robinson	G	31	2-7	1-4	6-6	2	1	1	0	11
Makhel Mitchell	Forward	26	4-10	0-0	2-3	8	5	1	4	10
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	1	2	0	4
Cougar Downing	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Creed Williamson	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Kristiyan Popov	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nikola Milosevic	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

84.2Offensive Efficiency119.2

119.2Defensive Efficiency84.2

-35.1Net Efficiency35.1

43.1%Effective FG%57.9%

50.0%True Shooting %63.0%

25.3%Turnover Rate18.2%

37.3%Free Throw Rate38.6%

41.2%3-Point Rate24.6%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.