Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%Northern Colorado

53.0%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL162.9

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -113

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 81

Projected Total162.9

Projected ScoreWeber State 82

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricWeber State

53.7MMH Power Index50.2

116.0Offensive Efficiency113.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency108.2

8.4Net Efficiency5.4

-4.3Strength of Schedule-3.4

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

71.1Tempo71.5

56.9%Effective FG%52.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.5%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

27.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

6.0Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–50.2), offensive efficiency (116.0–113.6), defensive efficiency (107.6–108.2), net efficiency (8.4–5.4).

Weber State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-4.3), offensive rebounding (32.6–27.9), free throw rate (38.3–27.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

81—85

Weber State

Weber State by 4 • 77.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATWeber State

33-60FG29-68

55.0%FG%43.0%

8-193PT7-30

42.0%3PT%23.0%

7-11FT20-26

64.0%FT%77.0%

34Rebounds38

4Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists16

17Turnovers9

6Steals9

—Blocks2

24Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jaron Rillie	Guard	39	8-10	2-3	5-8	3	2	2	23
Saint Thomas	Forward	40	7-16	2-8	1-1	12	7	0	17
Brock Wisne	F	21	7-8	1-1	0-0	1	2	1	15
Dejour Reaves	G	36	3-9	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	7
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	23	3-6	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	7
Theo Hughes	Center	21	2-3	0-0	1-2	8	1	0	5
Langston Reynolds	G	27	2-6	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	4
Zach Bloch	G	18	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	3

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dillon Jones	Forward	45	9-23	1-9	11-11	23	9	3	0	30
Steven Verplancken	Guard	41	6-16	2-10	2-2	1	1	3	0	16
Blaise Threatt	Guard	25	4-9	2-5	5-8	2	1	0	0	15
Dyson Koehler	Forward	39	6-10	2-5	0-0	6	2	2	0	14
Alex Tew	Center	38	3-5	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	6
KJ Cunningham	Guard	18	0-3	0-1	2-2	0	2	1	0	2
Marko Šarenac	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Viljami Vartiainen	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-3	0	1	0	0	0
Handje Tamba	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.8Possessions77.8

104.1Offensive Efficiency109.3

109.3Defensive Efficiency104.1

-5.1Net Efficiency5.1

61.7%Effective FG%47.8%

62.1%True Shooting %52.9%

21.7%Turnover Rate11.6%

18.3%Free Throw Rate38.2%

31.7%3-Point Rate44.1%

0.94Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Weber State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 77.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.