Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.1%Northern Arizona

81.9%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -10.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -452

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 70

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreIdaho State 81

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricIdaho State

36.9MMH Power Index45.9

107.1Offensive Efficiency111.0

114.8Defensive Efficiency113.4

-7.7Net Efficiency-2.4

-1.8Strength of Schedule0.2

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

66.6Tempo67.1

53.5%Effective FG%52.2%

15.8%Turnover Rate16.5%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

33.6%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-5.1Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–36.9), offensive efficiency (111.0–107.1), defensive efficiency (113.4–114.8), net efficiency (-2.4–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.5–52.2), ball security (15.8–16.5).

Final

Northern Arizona

92—88

Idaho State

Northern Arizona by 4 • 82.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATIdaho State

34-75FG29-62

45.0%FG%47.0%

7-203PT6-21

35.0%3PT%29.0%

17-24FT24-35

71.0%FT%69.0%

38Rebounds34

16Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists15

13Turnovers11

8Steals10

2Blocks7

24Fouls21

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carson Basham	Forward	45	15-24	0-0	3-6	13	2	2	1	33
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	45	6-19	2-11	6-7	2	1	3	1	20
Jayden Jackson	G	37	5-12	0-1	5-7	8	2	0	0	15
Diego Campisano	F	18	3-6	3-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	9
Liam Lloyd	Guard	36	1-3	1-1	3-4	5	2	1	0	6
Oakland Fort	G	36	2-7	1-3	0-0	5	2	0	0	5
Ryan Abelman	G	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Rockwell Reynolds	Forward	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Isaiah Kai	Guard	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
C.J. Ford	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Arman Madi	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miguel Tomley	Guard	44	7-20	2-10	8-9	2	3	0	0	24
Maleek Arington	G	50	6-16	1-4	10-14	3	3	6	1	23
Kiree Huie	F	30	7-10	0-0	0-3	9	2	1	1	14
Isaiah Griffin	F	46	5-8	2-2	1-1	5	2	1	0	13
Brayden Parker	Center	28	3-4	1-2	4-6	6	2	1	2	11
Trent Johnson	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Briggs Ranstrom	Forward	31	0-3	0-3	1-2	4	2	1	2	1
AJ Burgin	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Gavin Gilstrap	Center	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.0Possessions82.0

112.2Offensive Efficiency107.3

107.3Defensive Efficiency112.2

4.9Net Efficiency-4.9

50.0%Effective FG%51.6%

53.2%True Shooting %56.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate13.6%

32.0%Free Throw Rate56.5%

26.7%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 82.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.