Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.6%Montana State

61.4%Idaho

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -159

Idaho

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 74

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreIdaho 78

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricIdaho

53.6MMH Power Index53.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency111.6

104.9Defensive Efficiency104.3

9.5Net Efficiency7.3

-3.7Strength of Schedule-2.4

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency4.5

68.1Tempo69.7

55.1%Effective FG%52.8%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %29.5%

30.7%Free Throw Rate34.6%

6.5Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–53.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–111.6), net efficiency (9.5–7.3), recent form (4.9–4.5).

Idaho COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.3–104.9), strength of schedule (-2.4–-3.7), offensive rebounding (29.5–28.1).

Final

Montana State

62—48

Idaho

Montana State by 14 • 60.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATIdaho

23-49FG17-50

47.0%FG%34.0%

8-213PT7-20

38.0%3PT%35.0%

8-14FT7-10

57.0%FT%70.0%

30Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists6

11Turnovers17

13Steals3

5Blocks—

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Ford III	Guard	33	5-12	2-5	2-2	4	2	3	1	14
Tyler Patterson	Guard	33	4-9	3-6	0-0	3	0	1	0	11
Sam Lecholat	Forward	30	3-5	2-4	2-4	5	1	0	1	10
Brandon Walker	F	20	4-8	0-1	2-6	7	1	1	1	10
Brian Goracke	Forward	22	2-5	0-1	2-2	1	0	1	1	6
Jed Miller	G	15	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Eddie Turner III	Guard	34	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	1	7	0	2
John Olmsted	Forward	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Chika Nduka	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Quinn Denker	G	27	3-8	2-3	0-0	1	3	1	8
Terren Frank	F	26	3-7	0-1	2-2	8	0	0	8
EJ Neal Jr.	G	19	3-7	2-3	0-0	4	1	0	8
Tre Blassingame	G	21	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	6
Julius Mims	F	26	2-6	1-3	0-0	6	1	0	5
Takai Hardy	Forward	17	2-4	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	5
Kristian Gonzalez	G	21	1-3	0-1	2-4	3	0	1	4
Titus Yearout	G	21	1-7	0-3	2-2	0	0	1	4
Kyson Rose	Forward	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0
D'Angelo Minnis	Guard	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.3Possessions60.3

102.8Offensive Efficiency79.6

79.6Defensive Efficiency102.8

23.2Net Efficiency-23.2

55.1%Effective FG%41.0%

55.7%True Shooting %43.8%

18.4%Turnover Rate28.0%

28.6%Free Throw Rate20.0%

42.9%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.35

Game Summary

Montana State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 60.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.