Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.2%Cal State Fullerton

39.8%Long Beach State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL162.9

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -151

Long Beach State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 82

Projected Total162.9

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 81

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricLong Beach State

49.4MMH Power Index41.1

108.8Offensive Efficiency103.8

107.1Defensive Efficiency107.8

1.7Net Efficiency-4.0

-1.2Strength of Schedule-1.4

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

76.3Tempo72.2

52.6%Effective FG%51.5%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.7%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

39.6%Free Throw Rate31.1%

1.3Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–41.1), offensive efficiency (108.8–103.8), defensive efficiency (107.1–107.8), net efficiency (1.7–-4.0).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (26.3–25.5).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

76—71

Long Beach State

Cal State Fullerton by 5 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATLong Beach State

25-54FG24-62

46.0%FG%39.0%

8-223PT8-27

36.0%3PT%30.0%

18-23FT15-18

78.0%FT%83.0%

30Rebounds41

4Offensive Rebounds13

16Assists17

6Turnovers13

5Steals4

4Blocks5

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Brewton	Guard	40	9-19	1-3	7-8	5	6	0	0	26
John Mikey Square	Not Available	21	4-4	0-0	9-11	3	3	0	2	17
Grayson Carper	Guard	31	4-8	4-8	0-0	4	0	0	0	12
Donovan Oday	G	16	1-2	1-2	2-2	1	0	1	0	5
Jalen Cooper	F	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	0	4
Antwan Robinson	Guard	18	1-6	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Kendrick De Luna	F	21	1-2	0-0	0-2	1	0	1	1	2
Vincent Lee	Forward	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Zachary Visentin	Center	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Beril Kabamba	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jadon Jones	G	38	8-17	5-12	2-2	5	2	0	3	23
AJ George	G	37	5-12	1-1	4-4	6	3	0	0	15
Lassina Traore	F	35	4-8	0-1	4-6	12	1	1	0	12
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	28	3-8	0-1	4-4	11	6	0	1	10
Messiah Thompson	Guard	17	2-6	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Chayce Polynice	Center	18	1-5	1-2	1-2	1	2	1	1	4
Amari Stroud	Forward	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Isa Silva	G	13	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	2	1	0	0
Varick Lewis	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jason Hart Jr.	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

110.5Offensive Efficiency103.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency110.5

7.3Net Efficiency-7.3

53.7%Effective FG%45.2%

58.5%True Shooting %50.3%

9.0%Turnover Rate18.4%

42.6%Free Throw Rate29.0%

40.7%3-Point Rate43.5%

2.67Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.