Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.8%Cal Poly

74.2%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL162.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -288

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 77

Projected Total162.8

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 86

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricUC Santa Barbara

46.5MMH Power Index51.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency113.2

111.0Defensive Efficiency106.1

-3.8Net Efficiency7.1

1.7Strength of Schedule-2.0

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

76.6Tempo68.5

52.2%Effective FG%54.8%

19.8%Turnover Rate18.7%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-2.9Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–111.0), net efficiency (7.1–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-2.0), recent form (2.4–-1.7).

Final

Cal Poly

75—83

UC Santa Barbara

UC Santa Barbara by 8 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

27-59FG27-49

46.0%FG%55.0%

8-223PT3-10

36.0%3PT%30.0%

13-17FT26-33

76.0%FT%79.0%

24Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists13

8Turnovers13

3Steals6

2Blocks4

25Fouls18

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Sanders	Guard	35	9-17	2-8	11-11	4	3	2	1	31
Jarred Hyder	Guard	36	5-12	3-6	0-0	7	3	0	0	13
Quentin Jones	G	37	5-10	2-3	0-2	2	2	0	0	12
Joel Armotrading	C	21	4-4	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	1	10
Justin Page	G	27	4-9	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	19	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Paul Bizimana	Forward	19	0-5	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Hayden Jory	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ajay Mitchell	Guard	32	8-13	1-1	5-6	4	7	2	0	22
Yohan Traore	F	31	7-8	0-0	5-5	5	0	0	0	19
Ariel Bland	F	19	6-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	3	12
Josh Pierre-Louis	Guard	33	3-10	0-0	5-6	9	4	3	1	11
Cole Anderson	Guard	33	2-5	2-4	4-4	4	0	1	0	10
Jason Fontenet II	G	28	0-4	0-3	5-8	4	2	0	0	5
Ben Shtolzberg	G	10	1-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Matija Belic	F	12	0-1	0-1	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Kilian Brockhoff	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

108.9Offensive Efficiency120.5

120.5Defensive Efficiency108.9

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

52.5%Effective FG%58.2%

55.9%True Shooting %64.2%

11.6%Turnover Rate18.9%

28.8%Free Throw Rate67.3%

37.3%3-Point Rate20.4%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.