Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.2%Fairfield

64.8%Marist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarist -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL139.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMarist -184

Marist

19-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 67

Projected Total139.1

Projected ScoreMarist 72

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricMarist

50.1MMH Power Index51

109.6Offensive Efficiency104.3

105.4Defensive Efficiency95.6

4.2Net Efficiency8.7

-3.4Strength of Schedule-3.2

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.9

67.8Tempo66.8

49.1%Effective FG%49.9%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

28.4%Free Throw Rate26.1%

2.8Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–50.1), defensive efficiency (95.6–105.4), net efficiency (8.7–4.2), strength of schedule (-3.2–-3.4).

Fairfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.6–104.3), recent form (3.3–2.9), ball security (15.0–16.8).

Final

Fairfield

55—58

Marist

Marist by 3 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATMarist

17-60FG21-52

28.0%FG%40.0%

8-283PT6-21

29.0%3PT%29.0%

13-21FT10-13

62.0%FT%77.0%

42Rebounds38

16Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists12

11Turnovers14

10Steals4

2Blocks4

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Fields	Guard	37	5-15	4-10	1-2	10	4	0	0	15
Jalen Leach	Not Available	36	3-9	1-4	6-8	6	1	3	0	13
Brycen Goodine	Guard	28	4-11	2-5	0-1	3	1	1	0	10
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	20	2-4	0-2	2-2	1	0	1	0	6
Jasper Floyd	G	30	2-10	1-3	0-0	5	1	2	0	5
Peyton Smith	F	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Birima Seck	Forward	16	0-2	0-0	1-4	5	1	2	2	1
James Johns Jr.	Guard	11	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Marist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Pascarelli	G	34	5-10	3-7	0-0	2	1	1	0	13
Max Allen II	Center	23	5-10	0-1	2-2	5	3	0	0	12
Jaden Daughtry	F	24	2-3	2-2	4-4	7	0	1	2	10
Javon Cooley	G	29	2-8	0-3	3-4	6	0	1	1	7
Jadin Collins	Guard	33	3-10	0-2	0-1	3	3	1	1	6
Jackson Price	Forward	17	2-6	0-3	1-2	2	1	0	0	5
Noah Harris	Guard	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Isaiah Brickner	G	22	1-2	0-1	0-0	9	3	0	0	2
Kam Farris	Guard	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Matt McCool	Forward	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

84.5Offensive Efficiency89.1

89.1Defensive Efficiency84.5

-4.6Net Efficiency4.6

35.0%Effective FG%46.2%

39.3%True Shooting %49.8%

16.9%Turnover Rate21.5%

35.0%Free Throw Rate25.0%

46.7%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Marist won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.