North Alabama

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.7%North Alabama

93.3%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -18.6

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -1393

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Alabama 68

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 86

Team Comparison

North AlabamaMetricCentral Arkansas

34.9MMH Power Index54

104.4Offensive Efficiency113.9

116.7Defensive Efficiency105.2

-12.3Net Efficiency8.7

-1.2Strength of Schedule-3.9

-16.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

66.5Tempo71.0

48.9%Effective FG%54.3%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

39.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-8.2Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–34.9), offensive efficiency (113.9–104.4), defensive efficiency (105.2–116.7), net efficiency (8.7–-12.3).

North Alabama COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-3.9), offensive rebounding (31.5–29.6), free throw rate (39.1–30.7).

Final

North Alabama

82—78

Central Arkansas

North Alabama by 4 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North AlabamaTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

23-60FG25-52

38.0%FG%48.0%

9-233PT7-15

39.0%3PT%47.0%

27-28FT21-29

96.0%FT%72.0%

31Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists11

6Turnovers13

6Steals1

4Blocks7

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

North Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Damian Forrest	Forward	34	7-12	0-0	4-4	7	0	2	2	18
Will Soucie	Guard	32	6-9	3-4	3-3	5	2	1	0	18
KJ Johnson	Guard	34	2-7	1-4	10-11	6	5	0	0	15
Dallas Howell	F	38	3-12	3-9	2-2	6	1	3	1	11
Jacari Lane	G	24	1-7	0-0	6-6	2	1	0	0	8
Canin Jefferson	G	17	2-7	1-4	2-2	0	2	0	1	7
Josiah Fulcher	Guard	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Detalian Brown	Guard	14	1-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elias Cato	Forward	34	9-12	3-3	2-4	8	0	0	2	23
Tucker Anderson	F	37	5-12	2-6	8-8	2	2	0	1	20
Johannes Kirsipuu	G	16	3-4	1-1	2-2	3	4	0	0	9
Daniel Sofield	Guard	27	2-5	1-2	2-2	3	0	0	0	7
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	10	3-8	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	7
Masai Olowokere	Guard	27	2-5	0-1	2-4	3	1	0	0	6
Ibbe Klintman	Guard	20	0-1	0-0	4-5	1	3	1	1	4
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	22	1-3	0-0	0-2	7	0	0	3	2
Javion Guy-King	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

118.7Offensive Efficiency112.9

112.9Defensive Efficiency118.7

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

45.8%Effective FG%54.8%

55.9%True Shooting %59.3%

8.7%Turnover Rate18.9%

46.7%Free Throw Rate55.8%

38.3%3-Point Rate28.8%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

North Alabama won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.