Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.6%Bellarmine

83.4%Austin Peay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -12.9

PROJECTED TOTAL162.6

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -502

Austin Peay

22-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 75

Projected Total162.6

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 88

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricAustin Peay

44.9MMH Power Index54.8

119.6Offensive Efficiency115.0

122.1Defensive Efficiency103.1

-2.5Net Efficiency11.9

-2.8Strength of Schedule-5.8

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency8.1

66.9Tempo71.0

60.0%Effective FG%53.9%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

35.3%Free Throw Rate39.0%

-1.7Average Margin8.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–44.9), defensive efficiency (103.1–122.1), net efficiency (11.9–-2.5), recent form (8.1–0.3).

Bellarmine COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.6–115.0), strength of schedule (-2.8–-5.8), shooting efficiency (60.0–53.9).

Final

Bellarmine

87—90

Austin Peay

Austin Peay by 3 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATAustin Peay

31-73FG28-59

42.0%FG%47.0%

10-273PT12-26

37.0%3PT%46.0%

15-19FT22-26

79.0%FT%85.0%

37Rebounds40

14Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists16

6Turnovers10

3Steals3

3Blocks2

19Fouls20

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Johnson	G	42	13-25	6-11	2-3	4	0	1	0	34
Peter Suder	G	38	6-7	0-0	3-4	3	1	1	0	15
Bash Wieland	Guard	38	5-12	0-0	5-6	9	2	0	0	15
Langdon Hatton	Center	40	3-13	2-8	3-4	8	1	0	2	11
Garrett Tipton	Guard	40	3-10	2-7	2-2	3	3	0	0	10
Dezmond McKinney	Guard	16	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Billy Smith	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Landin Hacker	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sai Witt	Forward	41	7-13	0-0	11-12	11	3	0	0	25
Dez White	G	44	7-11	6-9	3-4	3	1	1	2	23
Ja'Monta Black	Guard	39	4-11	4-11	1-1	4	2	1	0	13
Dezi Jones	Guard	35	5-13	2-6	1-1	4	4	0	0	13
Isaac Haney	Guard	40	2-5	0-0	4-6	10	5	1	0	8
DeMarcus Sharp	Guard	24	3-6	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	8
Daniel Loos	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

118.9Offensive Efficiency123.0

123.0Defensive Efficiency118.9

-4.1Net Efficiency4.1

49.3%Effective FG%57.6%

53.0%True Shooting %63.1%

8.1%Turnover Rate13.8%

26.0%Free Throw Rate44.1%

37.0%3-Point Rate44.1%

1.17Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.