Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.7%Fresno State

87.3%Nevada

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNevada -12.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINENevada -687

Nevada

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 68

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreNevada 80

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricNevada

47.1MMH Power Index59.8

104.9Offensive Efficiency112.4

104.9Defensive Efficiency105.7

0.0Net Efficiency6.7

1.5Strength of Schedule3.7

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency7.8

69.4Tempo67.7

51.3%Effective FG%50.2%

18.2%Turnover Rate14.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %31.9%

35.5%Free Throw Rate46.0%

0.0Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nevada HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNevada holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–47.1), offensive efficiency (112.4–104.9), net efficiency (6.7–0.0), strength of schedule (3.7–1.5).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–105.7), shooting efficiency (51.3–50.2).

Final

Fresno State

66—74

Nevada

Nevada by 8 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATNevada

23-54FG26-49

43.0%FG%53.0%

7-233PT11-25

30.0%3PT%44.0%

13-18FT11-13

72.0%FT%85.0%

25Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds4

11Assists23

9Turnovers12

5Steals1

—Blocks5

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Isaiah Hill	Guard	40	5-14	3-8	3-4	5	4	2	16
Isaac Taveras	G	18	8-11	0-1	0-2	5	2	1	16
Xavier DuSell	Guard	38	3-11	2-9	6-6	3	1	1	14
Leo Colimerio	Forward	40	4-7	1-1	1-2	2	2	1	10
Jalen Weaver	Guard	34	3-6	1-2	1-2	2	1	0	8
Isaiah Pope	Guard	30	0-5	0-2	2-2	5	1	0	2

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarod Lucas	Guard	36	7-12	3-6	4-4	2	2	1	0	21
Nick Davidson	F	33	7-9	2-4	3-4	6	3	0	1	19
Hunter McIntosh	Guard	36	4-9	4-7	0-0	1	4	0	0	12
Tyler Rolison	G	17	2-4	1-2	2-2	3	3	0	0	7
Tre Coleman	Forward	34	2-7	0-3	2-3	6	6	0	4	6
Tylan Pope	Forward	5	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Daniel Foster	Guard	25	1-4	1-3	0-0	7	4	0	0	3
K.J. Hymes	Forward	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

103.3Offensive Efficiency115.8

115.8Defensive Efficiency103.3

-12.5Net Efficiency12.5

49.1%Effective FG%64.3%

52.8%True Shooting %67.1%

13.9%Turnover Rate19.0%

33.3%Free Throw Rate26.5%

42.6%3-Point Rate51.0%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.92

Game Summary

Nevada won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.