Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.8%Villanova

48.2%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL162.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -107

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 82

Projected Total162.9

Projected ScoreProvidence 81

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricProvidence

59.4MMH Power Index54.2

114.7Offensive Efficiency115.0

105.9Defensive Efficiency113.2

8.8Net Efficiency1.8

4.4Strength of Schedule4.0

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

67.3Tempo74.2

53.9%Effective FG%55.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.7%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

31.4%Free Throw Rate37.3%

5.9Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–54.2), defensive efficiency (105.9–113.2), net efficiency (8.8–1.8), strength of schedule (4.4–4.0).

Providence COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–114.7), shooting efficiency (55.0–53.9), free throw rate (37.3–31.4).

Final

Villanova

71—60

Providence

Villanova by 11 • 61.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATProvidence

25-49FG21-52

51.0%FG%40.0%

13-233PT10-30

57.0%3PT%33.0%

8-9FT8-10

89.0%FT%80.0%

27Rebounds27

3Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists11

10Turnovers11

6Steals7

1Blocks5

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Moore	Guard	33	5-10	4-6	1-2	3	4	0	0	15
Eric Dixon	Forward	33	4-12	1-5	2-2	3	0	2	0	11
Mark Armstrong	Guard	34	4-10	0-1	2-2	1	5	0	0	10
Brendan Hausen	G	19	3-3	3-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Tyler Burton	Forward	23	2-2	1-1	2-2	5	1	0	1	7
TJ Bamba	Guard	18	2-4	1-3	1-1	4	2	0	0	6
Jordan Longino	Guard	9	2-4	2-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Hakim Hart	Guard	24	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	3	0	5
Lance Ware	Forward	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Oduro	Forward	36	6-14	0-3	4-5	9	1	1	2	16
Devin Carter	Guard	39	5-13	1-6	2-3	9	2	3	1	13
Ticket Gaines	Guard	32	3-5	3-5	2-2	3	0	2	0	11
Rich Barron	F	28	3-7	3-7	0-0	1	3	0	0	9
Garwey Dual	G	21	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Jayden Pierre	G	19	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	3	0	0	3
Rafael Castro	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.1Possessions61.1

116.2Offensive Efficiency98.2

98.2Defensive Efficiency116.2

18.0Net Efficiency-18.0

64.3%Effective FG%50.0%

66.6%True Shooting %52.9%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.8%

18.4%Free Throw Rate19.2%

46.9%3-Point Rate57.7%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Villanova won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 61.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.