Navy

26-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.0%Navy

39.0%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNavy -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINENavy -156

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNavy 72

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreAmerican University 70

Team Comparison

NavyMetricAmerican University

56.8MMH Power Index48.2

113.2Offensive Efficiency110.6

97.6Defensive Efficiency105.8

15.6Net Efficiency4.8

-8.1Strength of Schedule-4.3

16.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

65.9Tempo67.5

53.7%Effective FG%52.6%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.7%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

40.9%Free Throw Rate30.1%

10.3Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Navy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNavy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.8–48.2), offensive efficiency (113.2–110.6), defensive efficiency (97.6–105.8), net efficiency (15.6–4.8).

American University COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.3–-8.1), ball security (15.7–17.1).

Final

Navy

71—65

American University

Navy by 6 • 61.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NavyTEAM STATAmerican University

25-45FG25-58

56.0%FG%43.0%

9-163PT4-22

56.0%3PT%18.0%

12-16FT11-15

75.0%FT%73.0%

29Rebounds27

7Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists11

16Turnovers8

5Steals9

2Blocks—

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Navy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Pennick	G	34	6-10	4-5	0-0	6	0	0	0	16
Austin Benigni	G	33	2-9	1-3	11-12	4	5	0	0	16
Donovan Draper	F	32	6-7	1-1	1-1	3	2	3	1	14
Lysander Rehnstrom	Guard	25	3-5	3-5	0-0	2	0	1	0	9
Aidan Kehoe	C	34	4-6	0-0	0-1	7	1	0	1	8
Mac MacDonald	Guard	13	3-5	0-1	0-2	1	1	0	0	6
Mitch Fischer	Forward	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Austin Inge	Guard	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Mike Woods	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	37	10-20	3-10	0-0	6	3	2	23
Elijah Stephens	Guard	34	8-12	0-2	7-7	3	4	2	23
Lincoln Ball	Guard	28	3-7	0-0	0-0	5	0	3	6
Greg Jones	F	35	1-4	0-1	3-5	3	1	2	5
Colin Smalls	Guard	20	1-4	0-3	1-2	2	0	0	3
Geoff Sprouse	G	17	1-6	1-5	0-0	0	2	0	3
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	24	1-5	0-1	0-1	2	1	0	2
Mason Whittaker	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Chris Gleaton	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.4Possessions61.4

115.6Offensive Efficiency105.9

105.9Defensive Efficiency115.6

9.8Net Efficiency-9.8

65.6%Effective FG%46.6%

67.5%True Shooting %49.9%

26.0%Turnover Rate13.1%

35.6%Free Throw Rate25.9%

35.6%3-Point Rate37.9%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Navy won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 61.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.