Lamar

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.1%Lamar

54.9%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL136.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -122

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLamar 68

Projected Total136.2

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 69

Team Comparison

LamarMetricNorthwestern State

44.1MMH Power Index41.3

105.0Offensive Efficiency104.0

103.8Defensive Efficiency109.0

1.2Net Efficiency-5.0

-3.0Strength of Schedule-1.6

-8.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

66.6Tempo63.6

48.8%Effective FG%49.5%

18.0%Turnover Rate17.6%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

28.5%Free Throw Rate41.2%

0.8Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lamar HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLamar holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.1–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.0–104.0), defensive efficiency (103.8–109.0), net efficiency (1.2–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.6–-3.0), recent form (-4.9–-8.2), shooting efficiency (49.5–48.8).

Final

Lamar

82—77

Northwestern State

Lamar by 5 • 79.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LamarTEAM STATNorthwestern State

28-64FG31-65

44.0%FG%48.0%

7-253PT4-17

28.0%3PT%24.0%

19-24FT11-18

79.0%FT%61.0%

44Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists16

18Turnovers16

10Steals12

8Blocks2

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Lamar

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
B.B. Knight	G	32	5-12	4-11	5-6	0	1	2	0	19
Chris Pryor	Guard	33	5-12	2-6	4-4	5	7	0	0	16
Adam Hamilton	Center	29	6-7	0-0	3-6	10	2	2	3	15
Terry Anderson	Forward	30	3-10	0-3	4-4	10	1	0	1	10
Ja'Sean Jackson	Guard	23	3-7	1-3	2-2	2	0	1	1	9
Errol White	F	34	3-7	0-0	0-0	9	2	3	2	6
Valentin Catt	G	5	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	3
Cody Pennebaker	G	29	1-6	0-2	0-0	3	2	2	0	2
Janko Bulajic	C	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Wilson	Forward	30	10-15	0-0	4-8	6	0	3	0	24
Braelon Bush	G	39	8-17	2-7	0-0	2	5	2	0	18
Chase Forte	G	40	4-7	0-0	2-4	5	6	3	0	10
Jae Slack	F	27	3-8	1-3	1-2	4	0	0	0	8
Duane Posey	G	16	3-5	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	8
Jimel Lane	F	31	1-5	0-2	2-2	5	3	1	0	4
Cliff Davis	G	20	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
J.C. Riley Jr.	F	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Chris Mubiru	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.0Possessions79.0

103.8Offensive Efficiency97.5

97.5Defensive Efficiency103.8

6.3Net Efficiency-6.3

49.2%Effective FG%50.8%

54.4%True Shooting %52.3%

23.0%Turnover Rate20.1%

37.5%Free Throw Rate27.7%

39.1%3-Point Rate26.2%

0.83Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Lamar won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 79.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.