New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%New Mexico State

62.5%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -167

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 70

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 74

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricJacksonville State

51.2MMH Power Index51.2

108.9Offensive Efficiency108.2

104.5Defensive Efficiency101.8

4.4Net Efficiency6.4

-0.7Strength of Schedule-2.3

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

68.9Tempo67.2

48.6%Effective FG%51.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

37.0%Free Throw Rate44.5%

3.1Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (101.8–104.5), net efficiency (6.4–4.4), recent form (-0.3–-2.0), shooting efficiency (51.0–48.6).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.9–108.2), strength of schedule (-0.7–-2.3), ball security (15.2–17.0).

Final

New Mexico State

66—64

Jacksonville State

New Mexico State by 2 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATJacksonville State

19-45FG21-54

42.0%FG%39.0%

7-203PT5-17

35.0%3PT%29.0%

21-31FT17-25

68.0%FT%68.0%

36Rebounds30

5Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists12

11Turnovers5

3Steals6

7Blocks4

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Femi Odukale	Guard	37	4-8	0-2	7-10	7	3	1	2	15
Christian Cook	Guard	36	4-12	4-9	3-3	4	0	0	0	15
Jaylin Jackson-Posey	Guard	28	4-7	2-4	5-6	2	0	0	0	15
Kaosi Ezeagu	Forward	30	3-6	0-0	4-10	12	1	0	3	10
Jordan Rawls	Guard	26	2-7	1-3	0-0	0	4	2	0	5
Jaden Harris	G	25	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Jonathan Kanyanga	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	2	2
Tanahj Pettway	Point Guard	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KyKy Tandy	Guard	37	4-14	2-6	5-6	5	2	2	0	15
Juwan Perdue	Forward	40	3-10	1-6	7-7	5	1	1	1	14
Matt Mayers	Forward	18	4-5	0-0	1-3	5	1	0	1	9
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	23	2-5	2-4	0-1	1	1	0	0	6
Ivan Reynolds	Guard	24	2-2	0-0	1-2	1	3	0	0	5
Quincy Clark	Guard	20	1-5	0-0	2-2	1	4	3	0	4
Mason Nicholson	C	11	2-6	0-0	0-2	6	0	0	2	4
Tyre Patterson	Guard	5	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Andres Burney	F	10	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Travis Roberts	SG	12	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency97.3

97.3Defensive Efficiency100.3

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

50.0%Effective FG%43.5%

55.3%True Shooting %48.6%

16.7%Turnover Rate7.6%

68.9%Free Throw Rate46.3%

44.4%3-Point Rate31.5%

0.82Assist / Turnover2.40

Game Summary

New Mexico State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.