Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.3%Portland State

42.7%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -134

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 80

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScoreSacramento State 76

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricSacramento State

50.2MMH Power Index43

109.3Offensive Efficiency106.1

100.2Defensive Efficiency112.0

9.1Net Efficiency-5.9

-5.6Strength of Schedule0.9

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

70.1Tempo73.2

51.7%Effective FG%48.5%

16.6%Turnover Rate14.2%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

36.8%Free Throw Rate41.8%

6.4Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (109.3–106.1), defensive efficiency (100.2–112.0), net efficiency (9.1–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-5.6), ball security (14.2–16.6), free throw rate (41.8–36.8).

Final

Portland State

61—73

Sacramento State

Sacramento State by 12 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATSacramento State

21-65FG24-48

32.0%FG%50.0%

4-243PT9-23

17.0%3PT%39.0%

15-26FT16-24

58.0%FT%67.0%

42Rebounds36

20Offensive Rebounds6

8Assists18

16Turnovers21

12Steals9

5Blocks5

22Fouls22

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KJ Allen	Forward	26	4-11	0-2	2-4	5	0	2	2	10
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	16	3-6	0-0	3-7	4	0	1	0	9
Isiah Kirby	Guard	23	1-6	1-2	4-4	1	0	2	0	7
Cole Farrell	G	22	2-6	0-1	3-5	4	3	0	0	7
Kendall Munson	Forward	18	3-7	0-0	1-4	6	0	1	1	7
Bobby Harvey	Guard	21	2-9	2-8	0-0	1	1	3	0	6
Ismail Habib	G	28	1-5	1-5	2-2	2	2	1	0	5
Hunter Woods	Forward	12	2-4	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	4
Hayden Curtiss	Center	7	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	4
Jorell Saterfield	Guard	24	1-7	0-5	0-0	7	1	1	0	2
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Austin Patterson	Guard	33	6-9	2-4	1-2	7	0	2	0	15
Zee Hamoda	G	30	4-10	2-7	5-5	5	3	0	1	15
Jacob Holt	Forward	23	5-6	0-0	5-6	8	1	0	4	15
Bailey Nunn	G	30	4-7	3-5	3-8	3	8	1	0	14
Bowyn Beatty	F	29	2-4	1-1	1-2	6	2	1	0	6
Emil Skytt	G	18	2-6	1-4	1-1	1	3	2	0	6
Akol Mawein	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	2
Alex Kovatchev	G	22	0-4	0-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

82.5Offensive Efficiency98.8

98.8Defensive Efficiency82.5

-16.2Net Efficiency16.2

35.4%Effective FG%59.4%

39.4%True Shooting %61.4%

21.8%Turnover Rate28.2%

40.0%Free Throw Rate50.0%

36.9%3-Point Rate47.9%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Sacramento State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.